Buccaneers vs. Falcons Week 15 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

In a matchup of two division rivals, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6) will meet the Atlanta Falcons (4-9). The Buccaneers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5.5). The matchup has an over/under of 43.5 points.

The Buccaneers rank 17th in scoring offense (23.0 points per game) and 23rd in scoring defense (25.0 points allowed per game) this year. With 19.4 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Falcons rank 27th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 20th, allowing 24.1 points per contest.

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Odds and Game Time

• Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• City: Tampa, Florida
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium
• Total: 43.5 points
• Spread: Buccaneers -5.5
• Moneyline: Buccaneers (-265), Falcons (+215)

How to watch Buccaneers vs. Falcons

• TV Channel: FOX (WTVT - Tampa Bay, FL)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Buccaneers vs. Falcons

• The Buccaneers' 13 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 43.5 points seven times.
• In Tampa Bay's 13 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total seven times.
• The Falcons have played seven games this season that have gone over 43.5 combined points scored.
• Atlanta games have gone over the point total six out of 13 times this season.
• The teams combine to score 42.4 points per game, 1.1 fewer points than this matchup's point total.
• Combined, these teams allow 49.1 points per game, 5.6 more points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Buccaneers vs. Falcons

• Tampa Bay is 5-8-0 ATS this season.
• Tampa Bay has not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
• The Falcons are 6-7-0 ATS this season.
• Atlanta has covered the spread twice as an underdog by 5.5 points or more this year (in three opportunities).
• The Buccaneers have one win against the spread, and are 3-3 overall, at home this year.
• At home, as 5.5-point favorites or greater, Tampa Bay is winless ATS (0-2).
• On the road, the Falcons are 2-5 overall and 4-3 against the spread.
• Atlanta is unbeaten ATS (2-0) as 5.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Buccaneers vs. Falcons

• Tampa Bay has won five of the seven games it was the moneyline favorite this season (71.4%).
• This season, the Falcons have been the underdog eight times and won three of those games.
• Tampa Bay has played as a moneyline favorite of -265 or shorter in just two games this season, and it split 1-1.
• This season, Atlanta has been at least a +215 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.
• The Buccaneers have a 72.6% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Buccaneers vs. Falcons

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