Stars vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 21

The Dallas Stars and Toronto Maple Leafs -- the former coming off a victory, the latter a loss -- will face each other on Sunday at 7 p.m. ET, at American Airlines Center in Dallas. Stars (-218) versus Maple Leafs (+180) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Dallas claimed an 8-3 victory on the road its last time out on Dec. 19 against the Anaheim Ducks. Jason Robertson had three points (two goals and one assist) for the Stars.

Toronto's most recent game was a road loss, 5-3, to the Nashville Predators on Dec. 20. The Maple Leafs got two points each out of Nicholas Robertson (two assists) and Bobby McMann (one goal and one assist).

Prepare for this matchup with a glimpse at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Sunday's game.

Stars vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Dallas Stars and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Stars 4 - Maple Leafs 1
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 4.92 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Stars vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Stars-Maple Leafs game.

• Favorite: Stars (-218)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+180)

Stars Betting Insights

• The Stars have won 64.3% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (18-10).
• Dallas has been a moneyline favorite of -218 or shorter twice this season, and won both.
• The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Stars have a 68.6% chance to win.
• Dallas' games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 16 times.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• This season the Maple Leafs have won four of the 12 games, or 33.3%, in which they've been an underdog.
• Toronto has not entered a game so far this season as a bigger moneyline underdog than the +180 odds on them winning this game.
• Oddsmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Maple Leafs have a 35.7% chance to win.
• Toronto's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 20 of 34 times.

Stars Key Stats

• Dallas' 125 total goals (3.5 per game) make it the second-highest scoring team in the NHL.
• The Stars have given up 94 total goals (2.6 per game), the sixth-fewest in NHL action.
• It has the league's second-best goal differential at +31.
• The 35 power-play goals the Stars have recorded this season (on 109 power-play chances) lead the NHL.
• Dallas ranks second in the league with a 32.11% power-play conversion rate.
• The Stars have scored two shorthanded goals this season.
• Dallas kills 83.33% of opponent power plays, the sixth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Dallas wins the seventh-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 52.6%.
• The Stars shoot 13.8% as a team (best in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto has 108 goals this season (3.2 per game), 14th in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs have given up 112 total goals this season (3.3 per game), 21st in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of -4, the team is 20th in the league.
• With 12 power-play goals (on 86 chances), the Maple Leafs are 32nd in the NHL.
• Toronto scores on 13.95% of its power plays, No. 32 in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs have two shorthanded goals (17th in league).
• Toronto's has the eighth-best penalty-kill percentage (82.61%).
• Toronto is the league leader in faceoff win rate (56.9%).
• The 11.9% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is third in the league.