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Stars vs. Golden Knights NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 22

22 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The Dallas Stars and Vegas Golden Knights -- both coming off losses -- will face each other on Sunday at 7 p.m. ET, at American Airlines Center in Dallas. Stars (-142) versus Golden Knights (+120) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Dallas lost 2-1 in overtime on the road in its last game on March 21 against the Minnesota Wild. Miro Heiskanen (one assist) and Jason Robertson (one goal) were among the three Stars skaters who recorded one point each.

Vegas played on the road in its last game on March 21, and lost 4-1 against the Nashville Predators. Three Golden Knights players had one point each in that outing, including Brett Howden (one assist) and Ivan Barbashev (one assist).

Here's our prediction for who will secure the victory in Sunday's matchup.

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Stars vs. Golden Knights Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Dallas Stars and Vegas Golden Knights, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Golden Knights 4 - Stars 3
  • Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.05 goals)

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Stars vs. Golden Knights Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Stars-Golden Knights matchup.

  • Favorite: Stars (-142)
  • Underdog: Golden Knights (+120)

Stars Betting Insights

  • The Stars have been victorious in 33 of their 53 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (62.3%).
  • Dallas is 23-12 when playing with moneyline odds of -142 or shorter (65.7% win percentage).
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Stars have an implied probability of 58.7% to win.
  • Dallas and its opponent have posted more than 5.5 goals in 37 of 69 games this season.

Golden Knights Betting Insights

  • This season the Golden Knights have won three of the 12 games, or 25.0%, in which they've been an underdog.
  • Vegas is 2-2 this season when entering a game as an underdog by +120 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set in this contest implies a 45.5% chance of victory for the Golden Knights.
  • Vegas' games this season have had more than 5.5 goals 40 of 70 times.

Stars Key Stats

  • Dallas has scored the eighth-most goals in the NHL (233 total, 3.4 per game).
  • Defensively, the Stars are one of the stingiest units in league action, allowing 183 total goals (2.6 per game) to rank second.
  • It has the league's third-best goal differential at +50.
  • The 61 power-play goals the Stars have recorded this season lead the NHL (on 210 power-play chances).
  • Dallas ranks second in the league with a 29.05% power-play conversion rate.
  • The Stars have scored three shorthanded goals this season (25th among NHL teams).
  • Dallas kills 80.77% of opponent power plays, the 11th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Dallas wins 52.1% of its faceoffs to rank sixth in the NHL.
  • The Stars shoot 13.1% as a team (best in the league).

Golden Knights Key Stats

  • Vegas has 220 goals this season (3.1 per game), 14th in the league.
  • The Golden Knights concede 3.0 goals per game (213 in total), 17th in the NHL.
  • Its +7 goal differential ranks 14th in the league.
  • With 49 power-play goals (on 197 chances), the Golden Knights are seventh-best in the NHL.
  • Vegas' power-play percentage (24.87) ranks the team fourth in the league.
  • In terms of shorthanded goals, the Golden Knights have three.
  • Vegas' has the sixth-best penalty-kill percentage (82.56%).
  • Vegas wins 51.1% of faceoffs, ninth-best in the NHL.
  • The 11% shooting percentage of the Golden Knights is 16th in the league.

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