SMU vs. VMI Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 5

The SMU Mustangs (1-0) host the VMI Keydets (1-0) at Moody Coliseum, starting at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 5, 2026. The Keydets are 24.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 160.5 points.

SMU heads into this contest after an 85-72 win over Southern on Monday. Jakub Szumert's team-high 24 points led SMU in the win. VMI is coming off of a 115-83 win against Virginia-Lynchburg in its last game on Monday. In VMI's win, T.J. Johnson led the way with 17 points (adding two rebounds and one assist).

SMU vs. VMI Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas
• Spread favorite: SMU -24.5
• Moneyline favorite: SMU -10000
• Moneyline underdog: VMI +2350
• Over/Under: 160.5 points

How to watch SMU vs. VMI

• TV Channel: ACC Network Extra
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: SMU vs. VMI

• SMU played 22 games with more than 160.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, last season.
• VMI's games went over 160.5 total points scored in eight of 29 matchups last season.
• These teams averaged a combined 156.1 points per game a season ago, 4.4 fewer points than the total of 160.5 set for this game.
• The Mustangs and the Keydets saw their opponents average a combined 2.6 fewer points per game last season than the over/under of 160.5 set for this matchup.
• The average point total for SMU's games last year was 1.5 more points than the over/under of 160.5 in this matchup.
• The average over/under in VMI's games in 2025 was 8.5 fewer points than the point total of 160.5 in this game.

Betting the Spread: SMU vs. VMI

• SMU put together a 15-18-1 record against the spread last season.
• The Mustangs covered the spread when playing as at least 24.5-point favorites in their only opportunity last season.
• VMI went 9-20-0 ATS last season.
• The Keydets covered the spread when playing as at least 24.5-point underdogs in their only opportunity last season.
• At home last season, SMU was 15-3 overall and 8-10 against the spread.
• SMU was unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 24.5-point favorite or greater at home last year.
• On the road last season, VMI was 1-14 overall and 7-8 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: SMU vs. VMI

• SMU went 17-5 in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 77.3% of those games).
• The Mustangs won all three games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -10000 or shorter.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, SMU's implied win probability is 99.0%.
• VMI won two, or 7.7%, of the 26 games it played as underdogs last season.
• The Keydets played as an underdog of +2350 or more once last season and lost that game.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 4.1% chance of a victory for VMI.

Dunkel Index Prediction for SMU vs. VMI

• Pick ATS: SMU (- 24.5)
• Pick OU: Under (160.5)
  
• Prediction: SMU 91 - VMI 62