SMU vs. Mississippi State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 28

The SMU Mustangs (7-0) visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3) at Humphrey Coliseum, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 28, 2025. The Bulldogs are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 164.5.

SMU enters this game on the heels of an 89-72 win over Radford on Monday. Kevin Miller recorded 25 points, one rebound and 10 assists for SMU. Mississippi State came out on top in its most recent outing 81-78 in OT against New Orleans on Monday. Josh Hubbard scored a team-high 28 points for Mississippi State in the victory.

SMU vs. Mississippi State Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 28, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Mississippi
• Spread favorite: SMU -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: SMU -116
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi State -104
• Over/Under: 164.5 points

How to watch SMU vs. Mississippi State

• TV Channel: SEC Network+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: SMU vs. Mississippi State

• This season, SMU's games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 164.5-point over/under five times.
• This season, Mississippi State has played two games with a combined score higher than 164.5 points.
• The over/under for the game of 164.5 is 7.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Mustangs (92.7 points per game) and the Bulldogs (79.5 points per game).
• The 153.3 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 11.2 fewer than the 164.5 total in this contest.
• On average, SMU has had a 165.7-point over/under in its games this season, 1.2 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 4.7 points higher than the average over/under in Mississippi State's games this season of 159.8.

Betting the Spread: SMU vs. Mississippi State

• SMU is 3-4-0 against the spread this year.
• The Mustangs have been favored by 1.5 points or more seven times this season and are 3-4 ATS in those games.
• So far this year Mississippi State is winless against the spread.
• This year, the Bulldogs are winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
• Mississippi State has not covered the spread at home, and is 3-0 overall there, this season.
• At home, as a 1.5-point underdog or more, Mississippi State is winless ATS (0-3).

Betting the Moneyline: SMU vs. Mississippi State

• This season, SMU has been listed as the moneyline favorite in seven games and won them all.
• The Mustangs are undefeated in seven games this season when favored by -116 or more on the moneyline.
• SMU has a 53.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Mississippi State was defeated in the one game it played as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Bulldogs have played as an underdog of -104 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Mississippi State has an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.