Senators vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 26
26 March 2026

The Ottawa Senators (38-24-9) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (35-20-16) on Thursday, March 26, with the Senators coming off a victory and the Penguins a loss. The bookmakers have made the Senators solid favorites at -148 on the moneyline, and the Penguins are at +124.
Ottawa earned a 3-2 road victory against the Detroit Red Wings in its last game on March 24. The Senators got two points each out of Brady Tkachuk (one goal and one assist) and Carter Yakemchuk (one goal and one assist).
Pittsburgh lost 6-2 at home against the Colorado Avalanche in its most recent game on March 24. Six Penguins players recorded one point each in that outing, including Yegor Chinakhov (one goal) and Sidney Crosby (one assist).
Before this matchup, here's who we predict to bring home the win in Thursday's hockey action.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Senators vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick
Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Ottawa Senators and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Penguins 4 - Senators 3
- Pick OU:
Over 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 7.03 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Senators vs. Penguins Moneylines
Snag a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Senators-Penguins game.
- Favorite: Senators (-148)
- Underdog: Penguins (+124)
Senators Betting Insights
- In the 51 times this season the Senators have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 30-21 in those games.
- Ottawa is 17-8 when playing with moneyline odds of -148 or shorter (68.0% win percentage).
- Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Senators' implied win probability is 59.7%.
- Ottawa's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 35 times.
Penguins Betting Insights
- The Penguins have won 19, or 46.3%, of the 41 games they have played while the underdog this season.
- This season Pittsburgh has won nine of its 20 games, or 45.0%, when it's the underdog by at least +124 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this outing implies a 44.6% chance of victory for the Penguins.
- Pittsburgh has played 38 games this season that ended with over 6.5 goals.
Senators Key Stats
- Ottawa's 236 total goals (3.3 per game) rank 10th in the NHL.
- Defensively, the Senators are allowing 216 total goals (3.0 per game) to rank 16th in league play.
- It has the league's 10th-best goal differential at +20.
- The 53 power-play goals the Senators have scored this season are fourth-best in the NHL (on 231 power-play chances).
- Ottawa's 22.94% power-play conversion rate ranks 11th in the league.
- The Senators have recorded six shorthanded goals this season (11th among NHL teams).
- Ottawa has the league's 30th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (75%).
- Ottawa wins the second-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 54.4%.
- The Senators have an 11.5% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 10th in the league.
Penguins Key Stats
- With 241 goals (3.4 per game), Pittsburgh has the league's seventh-best offense.
- The Penguins allow 3.0 goals per game (215 in total), 15th in the league.
- It has the seventh-best goal differential in the league at +26.
- With 49 power-play goals (on 203 chances), the Penguins are ninth-best in the NHL.
- Pittsburgh has the NHL's seventh-best power-play percentage (24.14%).
- The Penguins have five shorthanded goals (17th in NHL).
- At 82.94%, Pittsburgh has the third-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- At 48.5%, Pittsburgh has the league's 24th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
- The 11.8% shooting percentage of the Penguins is sixth in the league.
