Senators vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 18
18 December 2025

The Ottawa Senators (15-13-4) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (14-9-9) on Thursday, Dec. 18, with the Senators coming off a victory in their last game and the Penguins a defeat. The oddsmakers have made the Senators solid favorites at -166 on the moneyline, and the Penguins are at +140.
Ottawa grabbed a 3-2 victory on the road its last time out on Dec. 15 against the Winnipeg Jets. Tim Stutzle led the Senators with three points (three assists).
Pittsburgh lost 6-4 at home against the Edmonton Oilers in its most recent game on Dec. 16. Three Penguins skaters had two points each in that matchup, including Anthony Mantha (two assists) and Erik Karlsson (one goal and one assist).
Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which club will secure the win in Thursday's hockey action.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Senators vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick
Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Ottawa Senators and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Senators 4 - Penguins 3
- Pick OU:
Over 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 7.03 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Senators vs. Penguins Moneylines
Grab a look below at the latest moneylines for the Senators-Penguins game.
- Favorite: Senators (-166)
- Underdog: Penguins (+140)
Senators Betting Insights
- The Senators are 10-11 when favored on the moneyline this season.
- When playing with moneyline odds of -166 or shorter, Ottawa has compiled a 3-1 record (winning 75.0% of its games).
- The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Senators have a 62.4% chance to win.
- Ottawa and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 17 of 32 games this season.
Penguins Betting Insights
- The Penguins have been an underdog in 21 games this season, and won 11 (52.4%).
- Pittsburgh has entered nine games this season as an underdog by +140 or more and is 4-5 in those contests.
- The Penguins have a 41.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Pittsburgh has played 16 games this season with more than 6.5 goals.
Senators Key Stats
- Ottawa's 98 total goals (3.1 per game) rank 18th in the league.
- The Senators rank 19th in goals against, conceding 104 total goals (3.2 per game) in NHL action.
- Its -6 goal differential ranks 19th in the league.
- The 26 power-play goals the Senators have put up this season (fifth-most in the NHL) have come on 102 power-play chances.
- Ottawa has the league's sixth-best power-play conversion rate (25.49%).
- The Senators have scored one shorthanded goal this season (22nd among NHL teams).
- Ottawa has the league's 31st-ranked penalty-kill percentage (70.45%).
- Ottawa wins the second-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 56.7%.
- The Senators make 11.1% of their shots (12th in the league).
Penguins Key Stats
- Pittsburgh has 103 goals this season (3.2 per game), 14th in the league.
- The Penguins concede 3.0 goals per game (97 in total), 13th in the NHL.
- Its +6 goal differential is the eighth-best in the league.
- With 28 power-play goals (on 90 chances), the Penguins are third-best in the NHL.
- Pittsburgh's power-play percentage (31.11) puts the team third in the league.
- The Penguins have one shorthanded goal (22nd in NHL).
- At 81.63%, Pittsburgh has the 13th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Pittsburgh is 16th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (50%).
- With a shooting percentage of 11.4%, the Penguins are ninth in the league.
