Senators vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 21

The Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a win and a loss, respectively, heading into their meeting at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET. The Maple Leafs are big underdogs on the road, at +250, and the Senators are -310.

Ottawa claimed a 3-2 home victory against the New York Islanders in its last game on March 19. Nine Senators skaters recorded one point each, including Shane Pinto (one goal) and Drake Batherson (one assist).

Toronto played at home its last time out on March 20, and fell 4-3 in overtime against the Carolina Hurricanes. Matias Maccelli had two points (two assists) in that outing for the Maple Leafs.

To prepare for this matchup, here's who we project to emerge victorious in Saturday's hockey action.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Senators 4 - Maple Leafs 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.07 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Senators-Maple Leafs game.

• Favorite: Senators (-310)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+250)

Senators Betting Insights

• In the 49 times this season the Senators have been a moneyline favorite, they have finished 28-21 in those games.
• Ottawa has never played a game this season shorter than -310 moneyline odds.
• The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Senators have a 75.6% chance to win.
• Ottawa's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 34 times.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have won 12, or 33.3%, of the 36 games they have played while the underdog this season.
• Toronto has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +250.
• The moneyline set in this matchup implies a 28.6% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
• Toronto has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in 39 of 70 games this season.

Senators Key Stats

• Ottawa ranks 11th in the NHL with 226 goals scored (3.3 per game).
• The Senators have allowed 211 total goals (3.1 per game), ranking 16th in NHL play in goals against.
• Its +15 goal differential is the 10th-best in the league.
• The 50 power-play goals the Senators have scored this season are fourth-best in the NHL (on 218 power-play chances).
• Ottawa has the league's 10th-best power-play conversion rate (22.94%).
• The six shorthanded goals the Senators have scored this season rank 11th among NHL teams.
• Ottawa has the league's 30th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (74.24%).
• Ottawa wins the second-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 54.5%.
• The Senators shoot 11.5% as a team (ninth in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• With 218 goals (3.1 per game), Toronto has the league's 15th-ranked offense.
• The Maple Leafs concede 3.4 goals per game (241 in total), 31st in the league.
• With a goal differential of -23, the team is 23rd in the league.
• The Maple Leafs have 32 power-play goals (on 167 chances), 28th in the NHL.
• Toronto's power-play percentage (19.16) puts the team 20th in the league.
• This season, the Maple Leafs have four shorthanded goals (22nd in league).
• The 82.89% penalty-kill percentage of Toronto is fifth in the NHL.
• At 55.6%, Toronto has the NHL's top faceoff win rate.
• The Maple Leafs' 11.5% shooting percentage is ninth in the league.