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Senators vs. Capitals NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 18

18 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The Ottawa Senators and Washington Capitals are coming off a victory and a defeat, respectively, heading into their meeting at Capital One Arena on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Capitals are underdogs despite being the hosts, at +114, and the Senators are -135.

Ottawa won 7-4 at home its last time out on March 15 against the San Jose Sharks. Six Senators players had two points each, including Michael Amadio (two assists) and Drake Batherson (two goals).

Washington was at home for its last game on March 14, and fell to the Boston Bruins 3-2, losing a shootout 1-0. Rasmus Sandin's two points (one goal and one assist) in that outing led the Capitals.

To prepare for this matchup, here is who we expect to emerge victorious in Wednesday's hockey action.

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Senators vs. Capitals Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Ottawa Senators and Washington Capitals, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Capitals 3 - Senators 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.03 goals)

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Senators vs. Capitals Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Senators-Capitals matchup.

  • Favorite: Senators (-135)
  • Underdog: Capitals (+114)

Senators Betting Insights

  • In the 47 times this season the Senators have been a moneyline favorite, they have finished 27-20 in those games.
  • Ottawa is 18-11 (winning 62.1% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter.
  • The Senators have a 57.4% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this contest.
  • Ottawa's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 34 times.

Capitals Betting Insights

  • This season the Capitals have been an underdog 21 times, and won seven, or 33.3%, of those games.
  • This season Washington has won four of its 11 games, or 36.4%, when it's the underdog by at least +114 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 46.7% chance of victory for the Capitals.
  • Washington has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 27 of 68 games this season.

Senators Key Stats

  • Ottawa's 222 total goals (3.4 per game) make it the 10th-highest scoring team in the NHL.
  • The Senators have allowed 205 total goals (3.1 per game), ranking 17th in league play in goals against.
  • Its goal differential (+17) makes the team ninth-best in the league.
  • The 50 power-play goals the Senators have recorded this season (on 213 power-play chances) are the fourth-most in the NHL.
  • Ottawa's 23.47% power-play conversion rate is the ninth-best in the league.
  • The Senators have scored five shorthanded goals this season (13th among NHL teams).
  • Ottawa kills 73.96% of opponent power plays, the 30th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Ottawa wins 54.3% of its faceoffs to rank second in the NHL.
  • The Senators have an 11.7% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks ninth in the league.

Capitals Key Stats

  • Washington has 211 goals this season (3.1 per game), 16th in the NHL.
  • The Capitals' total of 197 goals conceded (2.9 per game) is 10th in the league.
  • Its +14 goal differential ranks 11th in the league.
  • The Capitals have 33 power-play goals (24th in NHL) on 203 chances.
  • Washington has the NHL's 29th-ranked power-play percentage (16.26%).
  • This season, the Capitals have three shorthanded goals (24th in NHL).
  • At 79.44%, Washington has the 15th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Washington is 17th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (49.8%).
  • With a shooting percentage of 10.8%, the Capitals are 18th in the league.

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