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Senators vs. Capitals NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 1

01 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Ottawa Senators and Washington Capitals -- the former coming off a defeat, the latter a win -- will face each other on Thursday at 1 p.m. ET, at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. Senators (-142) versus Capitals (+120) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Ottawa fell in a 4-1 loss at home its last time out on Dec. 29 against the Columbus Blue Jackets. Three Senators skaters recorded one point each, including Jake Sanderson (one goal) and Tim Stutzle (one assist).

Washington won its most recent game 6-3 at home against the New York Rangers on Dec. 31. Tom Wilson's three points (two goals and one assist) in that matchup led the Capitals.

Before watching this matchup, here is our pick for which squad will take home the victory in Thursday's hockey action.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Senators vs. Capitals Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Ottawa Senators and Washington Capitals, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Senators 3 - Capitals 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.04 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Senators vs. Capitals Moneylines

Take a look below at the latest moneylines for the Senators-Capitals game.

  • Favorite: Senators (-142)
  • Underdog: Capitals (+120)

Senators Betting Insights

  • The Senators have been victorious in 13 of their 27 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (48.1%).
  • Ottawa is 9-8 (winning 52.9% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -142 or shorter.
  • Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Senators' implied win probability is 58.7%.
  • Ottawa's 38 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 20 times.

Capitals Betting Insights

  • The Capitals have been made an underdog 12 times this season, and won four, or 33.3%, of those games.
  • Washington has played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer twice this season. They split the games 1-1.
  • The Capitals have a 45.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Washington has played 17 games this season with more than 6.5 goals.

Senators Key Stats

  • Ottawa's 122 total goals (3.2 per game) rank 14th in the NHL.
  • Defensively, the Senators are allowing 124 total goals (3.3 per game) to rank 20th in league action.
  • Its goal differential (-2) ranks 18th in the league.
  • The 31 power-play goals the Senators have scored this season (third-most in the NHL) have come on 122 power-play chances.
  • Ottawa has the league's fourth-best power-play conversion rate (25.41%).
  • The Senators have scored two shorthanded goals this season.
  • Ottawa kills 71.43% of opponent power plays, the 32nd-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Ottawa has the second-best faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 56.2%.
  • The Senators make 11.5% of their shots (ninth in the league).

Capitals Key Stats

  • Washington's 130 goals on the season (3.2 per game) rank fifth in the league.
  • The Capitals allow 2.8 goals per game (110 in total), the eighth-fewest in the NHL.
  • It has the fourth-best goal differential in the league at +20.
  • The Capitals have 18 power-play goals (28th in NHL) on 115 chances.
  • Washington scores on 15.65% of its power plays, No. 29 in the NHL.
  • This season, the Capitals have one shorthanded goal (26th in league).
  • Washington's has the 27th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (76%).
  • Washington is 22nd in faceoff win rate in the NHL (48.8%).
  • With a shooting percentage of 11.2%, the Capitals are 11th in the league.

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