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Senators vs. Canadiens NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 11

11 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The Ottawa Senators and Montreal Canadiens -- both coming off wins -- will play on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET, at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. The Canadiens are underdogs on the road, at +160, and the Senators are -192.

Ottawa claimed a 2-0 victory on the road its last time out on March 9 against the Vancouver Canucks. Six Senators skaters recorded one point each, including Shane Pinto (one assist) and Brady Tkachuk (one goal).

Montreal won at home in its last game on March 10, 3-1 over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Canadiens got one point apiece out of eight players in that outing, including Phillip Danault (one goal) and Ivan Demidov (one assist).

Get ready for this matchup with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory in Wednesday's game.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Senators vs. Canadiens Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Ottawa Senators and Montreal Canadiens, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Senators 3 - Canadiens 1
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 4.06 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Senators vs. Canadiens Moneylines

Grab a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Senators-Canadiens game.

  • Favorite: Senators (-192)
  • Underdog: Canadiens (+160)

Senators Betting Insights

  • The Senators are 25-19 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • Ottawa is 3-1 in games it has played with moneyline odds of -192 or shorter (75.0% win percentage).
  • The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Senators have a 65.8% chance to win.
  • In 33 of 63 matches this season, Ottawa and its opponent have combined to finish above 6.5 goals.

Canadiens Betting Insights

  • The Canadiens have been listed as an underdog 34 times this season, and won 20, or 58.8%, of those games.
  • Montreal has a record of 1-2 in games when sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +160 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 38.5% chance of victory for the Canadiens.
  • Montreal has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 38 of 63 games this season.

Senators Key Stats

  • Ottawa's 211 total goals (3.4 per game) rank 11th in the NHL.
  • The Senators rank 18th in goals against, allowing 198 total goals (3.1 per game) in NHL action.
  • It has the league's 12th-ranked goal differential at +13.
  • The 47 power-play goals the Senators have put up this season (fifth-most in the NHL) have come on 203 power-play chances.
  • Ottawa's 23.15% power-play conversion rate is the ninth-best in the league.
  • The four shorthanded goals the Senators have scored this season rank 20th among NHL squads.
  • Ottawa's 73.51% penalty-kill success rate ranks 30th in the league.
  • Ottawa wins 54.5% of its faceoffs to rank third in the NHL.
  • The Senators have an 11.7% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks eighth in the league.

Canadiens Key Stats

  • With 223 goals (3.5 per game), Montreal has the NHL's fifth-best offense.
  • The Canadiens have conceded 205 total goals this season (3.2 per game), 24th in the league.
  • With a goal differential of +18, the team is ninth-best in the league in that category.
  • The Canadiens have 45 power-play goals (seventh-most in NHL) on 181 chances.
  • Montreal scores on 24.86% of its power plays, No. 7 in the NHL.
  • The Canadiens have seven shorthanded goals (fourth in NHL).
  • The 76.73% penalty-kill percentage of Montreal is 27th in the NHL.
  • Montreal wins 50.8% of faceoffs, 11th-ranked in the NHL.
  • The Canadiens' 13.4% shooting percentage is the best in the league.

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