Scottish Open 2022 Betting Preview/Prop Picks
05 July 2022
Last week’s John Deere Classic saw 99th-ranked J.T. Poston take over with a victory. Moving forward to this week’s event, there are a lot more top-ranked golfers at play looking to get a final tune-up before the final major.
This will mark the first time that the Scottish Open is officially on the PGA Tour. Below you can see which players have a good shot at winning.
Tournament Details
Date: Jul 7–10, 2022
Course: The Renaissance Club
Watch on: CBS, GOLF
Purse: $8,000,000
Betting Overview
Nine of the top 10 best golfers in the world, according to the world golf rankings, are competing in this event. The course itself has been played by a handful of golfers currently competing, with some of the best playing here last year.
This course is a par-71 that stretches just a tad over 7,300 yards. The weather will be the biggest factor, so players will have to account for wind and rain if it arrives.
Head to Head Matchup to Watch
Xander Schauffele (-33.543) and Will Zalatoris (-33.863) both have great iron play to set themselves up with a chance to win. Schauffele finished T10 here last year while Zalatoris placed T26.
Looking at recent form and how these two have played this year, Schauffele has a slight advantage. He recently won the Travelers Championship a few weeks ago.
Dunkel Index For This Event
The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 golfers that could win this event. The following ten are:
1 Xander Schauffele -33.543
2 Will Zalatoris -33.863
3 Jon Rahm -36.084
4 Patrick Cantlay -36.344
5 Scottie Scheffler -37.027
6 Collin Morikawa -37.192
7 Justin Thomas -37.785
8 Cameron Smith -40.573
9 Sam Burns -40.673
10 Corey Conners -40.855
*index is subject to changes
Golfers That Could Win
When it comes to iron play, you have to consider Justin Thomas (-37.785). He might have a slight edge compared to others in the field.
Thomas finished T8 here last year, and the only other popular name in the rankings that did better was Jon Rahm. Thomas has had a solid season and has a good chance to win.
Jon Rahm (-36.084) finished in seventh place last year here and has some positive momentum heading into this event. He has several top 12 finishes lately that could indicate he is ready to win one again. Based on last year, he appears to be fairly confident here and could pull off a victory.
Potential Winning Pick
Why not take a look at an improved, currently ranked number on me in the world, Scottie Scheffler (-37.027)? Regardless if he is typically a favorite for every event he enters, there is a good reason.
He finished T12 here last year and is playing through a historic season. With a handful of wins already this season, he has flirted with another victory since his Masters at least twice.
Prop Picks
Tournament Matchup: Collin Morikawa (-130) OVER Hideki Matsuyama
After a subpar spring for him that included a tie for 55th at the PGA Championship, Morikawa showed signs of life with a tie for 5th at the US Open in June. He ranks No. 10 in scoring average (69.710).
Matsuyama also had a bumpy spring with a tie for 60th at the PGA Championship and a DQ at the Memorial. But he bounced back with a final round 65 to finish alone at 4th at the US Open. Matsuyama ranks No. 13 in scoring average (69.820).
With Morikawa rated No. 6 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Matsuyama at No. 13, these two look to have their games ready to compete for another major title, but take Morikawa to have the edge this week at The Renaissance Club.
Tournament Matchup: Aaron Rai (-120) OVER Matt Kuchar
Rai has 7 Top 25 finishes in 24 events with the most recent coming a month ago at the RBC Canadian Open (tie for 13th). He has 6 international wins to his credit, including the Scottish Open in 2020. Rai ranks No. 25 in driving accuracy percentage (66.85%).
Kuchar is a 9-time winner on the PGA Tour and had a hot steak earlier this year with three straight Top 20 finishes, including a tie for 2nd at the Valero Texas Open. He’s cooled off since then and posted a tie for 45th at his last event, the Memorial. Kuchar ranks No. 33 in driving accuracy percentage (65.65%).
With Rai rated No. 22 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Kuchar at No. 32, take the more accurate driver in Rai (-120) to get the better of this matchup.
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