San Jose State vs. Southern Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 21

The San Jose State Spartans (1-3) host the Southern Jaguars (2-3) at Provident Credit Union Event Center, starting at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, November 21, 2025. The Jaguars are 5.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 150.5.

San Jose State is coming off of a 110-56 win over Bethesda (CA) in its most recent outing on Monday. In San Jose State's win, Colby Garland led the way with a team-high 17 points (adding five rebounds and six assists). Southern fell in its most recent game 99-93 in OT against Washington on Tuesday. Michael Jacobs' team-leading 24 points paced Southern in the loss.

San Jose State vs. Southern Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 21, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Provident Credit Union Event Center in San Jose, California
• Spread favorite: San Jose State -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: San Jose State -258
• Moneyline underdog: Southern +209
• Over/Under: 150.5 points

How to watch San Jose State vs. Southern

• TV Channel: MW Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: San Jose State vs. Southern

• San Jose State and its opponent combined to score over 150.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in nine of 32 games last season.
• Southern played six games last season (20.7% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 150.5 points.
• These two teams averaged a combined 146.9 points per game a season ago, 3.6 fewer points than the total of 150.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 8.8 fewer points per game (141.7) last season than this matchup's total of 150.5 points.
• The average point total for San Jose State's games last year was 5.0 fewer points than the over/under of 150.5 in this matchup.
• The average point total for Southern in 2024 was 7.5 points lower than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: San Jose State vs. Southern

• San Jose State put together a 22-9-1 record against the spread last season.
• The Spartans covered the spread twice when favored by 5.5 points or more last season (in three opportunities).
• Southern went 13-16-0 ATS last year.
• When playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs last year, the Jaguars had an ATS record of 5-3.
• San Jose State was 10-4 against the spread, and 6-8 overall, at home last season.
• At home last year, San Jose State had two wins ATS (2-1) as a 5.5-point favorite or greater.
• Southern was 9-9 against the spread, and 9-9 overall, on the road last season.
• Southern had two wins ATS (2-1) as a 5.5-point underdog or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: San Jose State vs. Southern

• San Jose State was the moneyline favorite 10 total times last season. It finished 8-2 in those games.
• When they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -258 or shorter, the Spartans had a 3-1 record (winning 75% of their games).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, San Jose State's implied win probability is 72.1%.
• Southern was an underdog eight times last season and won twice.
• The Jaguars had a record of 2-6 when they were set as an underdog of +209 or more by sportsbooks last season.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 32.4% chance of a victory for Southern.

Dunkel Index Prediction for San Jose State vs. Southern

• Pick ATS: Southern (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (150.5)
  
• Prediction: Southern 73 - San Jose State 72