San Francisco vs. North Dakota State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 6

The San Francisco Dons (1-0) host the North Dakota State Bison (1-1) at War Memorial at the Sobrato Center, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, November 6, 2026. The Dons are 9.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under for the matchup is set at 146.5.

San Francisco won its last outing 76-62 against Radford on Monday. Dylan Bordon's team-leading 20 points led San Francisco in the victory. North Dakota State lost its last outing 105-64 against Saint Mary's (CA) on Wednesday. North Dakota State got a team-leading 15 points from Karl Markus Poom in the loss.

San Francisco vs. North Dakota State Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: War Memorial at the Sobrato Center in San Francisco, California
• Spread favorite: San Francisco -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: San Francisco -465
• Moneyline underdog: North Dakota State +344
• Over/Under: 146.5 points

How to watch San Francisco vs. North Dakota State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: San Francisco vs. North Dakota State

• San Francisco and its opponent combined to score over 146.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 17 of 32 games last year.
• Last year, 19 of North Dakota State's 32 matchups went over 146.5 total points scored.
• The two teams averaged a combined 8.5 more points per game (155) a season ago than this game's total of 146.5 points.
• Opponents of these teams averaged a combined 143.4 points per game last season, 3.1 fewer than the over/under in this game.
• San Francisco's average point total in matchups last year was 147.8, 1.3 points higher than the over/under in this game.
• The average point total for North Dakota State in 2025 was 4.1 points higher than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: San Francisco vs. North Dakota State

• San Francisco won 14 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 18 times.
• The Dons had an ATS record of 4-4 when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites last season.
• North Dakota State compiled an 18-14-0 ATS record last season.
• The Bison covered the spread once last year (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs.
• San Francisco was 4-10 against the spread, and 8-6 overall, at home last season.
• At home last season, San Francisco was 3-4 ATS as a 9.5-point favorite or more.
• North Dakota State was 9-6 against the spread, and 10-5 overall, in away games last season.
• North Dakota State was unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 9.5-point underdog or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: San Francisco vs. North Dakota State

• San Francisco won 63.2% of the games last season in which it was the moneyline favorite (12-7).
• The Dons went 7-2 last year (winning 77.8% of their games) when they played as a moneyline favorite of -465 or shorter.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, San Francisco has an implied win probability of 82.3%.
• North Dakota State was an underdog seven times last season and won twice.
• The Bison played as an underdog of +344 or more twice last season and lost both games.
• The implied probability of a win by North Dakota State, based on the moneyline, is 22.5%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for San Francisco vs. North Dakota State

• Pick ATS: North Dakota State (+ 9.5)
• Pick OU: Over (146.5)
  
• Prediction: North Dakota State 76 - San Francisco 75