San Diego vs. Tarleton State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 6

The San Diego Toreros (1-0) host the Tarleton State Texans (1-0) at Jenny Craig Pavilion, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 6, 2026. The Texans are 5.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 148.5 points.

In its last time out, San Diego won on Monday 79-62 over Biola. Marqui Worthy scored a team-high 15 points for San Diego in the victory. Tarleton State won its last matchup 86-60 against Cameron on Monday. Jac Mani recorded 17 points, five rebounds and one assist for Tarleton State.

San Diego vs. Tarleton State Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Jenny Craig Pavilion in San Diego, California
• Spread favorite: San Diego -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: San Diego -254
• Moneyline underdog: Tarleton State +204
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch San Diego vs. Tarleton State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: San Diego vs. Tarleton State

• San Diego's games went over 148.5 points scored, its current matchup's point total, 14 times (out of 31) last season.
• Tarleton State played 15 games last season (53.6% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 148.5 points.
• These teams averaged a combined 149 points per game a season ago, 0.5 more points than the over/under of 148.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 2.8 more points per game last season (151.3) than this game's total of 148.5 points.
• The average point total in San Diego's games last year was 3.9 more points than the over/under of 148.5 in this matchup.
• The average total for Tarleton State's games in 2025 was 0.6 fewer points than the point total of 148.5 in this game.

Betting the Spread: San Diego vs. Tarleton State

• San Diego won 16 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 15 times.
• The Toreros covered the spread once last season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
• Tarleton State won 14 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 14 times.
• When playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs last season, the Texans had an ATS record of 5-3.
• At home last season, San Diego was 10-5 against the spread and 7-8 overall.
• At home last season, as a 5.5-point favorite or greater, San Diego had one win ATS (1-1).
• Tarleton State was 9-6 against the spread, and 4-11 overall, on the road last season.
• Tarleton State was unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 5.5-point underdog or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: San Diego vs. Tarleton State

• San Diego won five of the nine games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (55.6%).
• The Toreros played as a moneyline favorite of -254 or shorter in only two games last season, and they split them 1-1.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, San Diego's implied win probability is 71.8%.
• Tarleton State was an underdog 15 times last season and won twice.
• Last season, the Texans were at least a +204 underdog on the moneyline seven times, losing each of those contests.
• The implied probability of a win by Tarleton State, based on the moneyline, is 32.9%.