San Diego State vs. New Mexico Dunkel NCAA Football Picks, Predictions and Odds - Nov. 28

The San Diego State Aztecs (9-2), who have college football's 21st-ranked rush defense, meet the New Mexico Lobos (8-3) and their 22nd-ranked rushing defense on Friday, November 28, 2025. The Aztecs are only 1.5-point favorites.

The Aztecs beat the San Jose State Spartans, 25-3, in their last contest.

Last time around, the Lobos defeated the Air Force Falcons, with 20-3 being the final score.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Predictions

For predictions on the upcoming game between the San Diego State Aztecs and New Mexico Lobos, computer-derived against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Pick ATS: Aztecs (- 1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (41.5)
  
• Prediction: Aztecs 21 - Lobos 16

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San Diego State vs. New Mexico Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Aztecs-Lobos game.

• San Diego State Moneyline: -120
• New Mexico Moneyline: +100

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San Diego State Betting Insights

• San Diego State has won eight of the nine games it was the moneyline favorite this season (88.9%).
• In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -120 or shorter, San Diego State has gone 8-1 (88.9%).
• The Aztecs and their opponents have gone over 41.5 combined points in five of 11 games this season.
• Aztecs contests this year have an average point total of 45.6, 4.1 more points than this game's over/under.
• The Lobos are college football's 63rd-highest scoring team this season compared to the 84th-ranked Aztecs.

New Mexico Betting Insights

• New Mexico has been an underdog in five games this season and won two (40%) of those contests.
• New Mexico has a record of 2-3 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +100 on the moneyline.
• New Mexico games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 41.5 points in nine of 11 outings.
• The average total for New Mexico games this season has been 55.7, 14.2 more points than this matchup's over/under.

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Key Stats for San Diego State vs. New Mexico

• San Diego State owns a 2-1 record against New Mexico in their last three matchups.
• In those contests against New Mexico, the Aztecs have covered two times while going over the point total on one occasion.
• The Aztecs rank 104th in total offense this season (340.5 yards per game), but they've been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking sixth-best in the FBS with 340.5 yards allowed per game.
• On the defensive side of the ball, San Diego State has been a top-25 unit, ranking second-best by surrendering only 11.6 points per game. The offense ranks 82nd (25.4 points per game).
• The Lobos rank 82nd with 375.2 total yards per contest on offense, and they rank 50th with 349.5 total yards allowed per contest on the defensive side of the ball.
• In terms of points scored New Mexico ranks 63rd in the FBS (28.4 points per game), and it is 54th defensively (23.0 points allowed per game).