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Padres vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 19

19 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres will aim to keep a three-game win streak alive when they host the Miami Marlins at 8:40 p.m. ET on Saturday. Casey Mize (6-9, 3.69 ERA) will start for the Padres, who are 85-69 this season and second in the NL West. Eury Perez (7-11, 3.99 ERA) is expected to start for the Marlins, who are 76-78 and third in the NL East.

The Padres (-157) are moneyline favorites at home over the Marlins (+129). The game's total is set at 7.5.

Padres vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Game time: 8:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: Petco Park
  • Favorite: Padres (-157)
  • Underdog: Marlins (+129)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Padres vs. Marlins

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Padres vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Padres have won 61% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (47-30).
  • Miami has been underdogs in 87 games this season and has come away with the win 35 times (40.2%) in those contests.
  • San Diego has a record of 18-7, a 72% win rate, when favored by -157 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • This year, the Marlins have won seven of 23 games when listed as at least +129 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 61.1% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 43.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Padres vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 154 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Padres, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 72 times (72-77-5).
  • So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 78 of its 154 games with a total.
  • The Padres have an 87-67-0 record ATS this season (covering 56.5% of the time).
  • The Marlins have posted a record of 77-77-0 against the spread this season.
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