Sabres vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 14

The Buffalo Sabres (40-20-6) will host the Toronto Maple Leafs (28-27-11) on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET, in a matchup featuring two clubs at opposite ends of the Eastern Conference. The oddsmakers have made the Sabres big favorites at -230 on the moneyline, and the Maple Leafs are at +190.

Buffalo fell in a 2-1 defeat at home its last time out on March 12 against the Washington Capitals. Three Sabres skaters had one point each, including Owen Power (one assist) and Beck Malenstyn (one assist).

Toronto won at home in its most recent game on March 12, 6-4 over the Anaheim Ducks. Matthew Knies led the Maple Leafs with four points (one goal and three assists) in that outing.

To prepare for this matchup, here's who we project to emerge victorious in Saturday's hockey game.

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Buffalo Sabres and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Sabres 4 - Maple Leafs 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.09 goals)
  

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Sabres vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Sabres-Maple Leafs game.

• Favorite: Sabres (-230)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+190)

Sabres Betting Insights

• The Sabres have won 63.3% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (19-11).
• Buffalo is yet to play a game with moneyline odds shorter than -230.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Sabres have an implied probability of 69.7% to win.
• Buffalo and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 31 of 66 games this season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• This season the Maple Leafs have won 11 of the 32 games, or 34.4%, in which they've been an underdog.
• Toronto has played as an underdog of +190 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied probability of a win by the Maple Leafs, based on the moneyline, is 34.5%.
• Toronto has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 38 of 66 games this season.

Sabres Key Stats

• Buffalo's 229 total goals (3.5 per game) make it the third-highest scoring team in the league.
• Defensively, the Sabres are conceding 198 total goals (three per game) to rank 15th in NHL action.
• Its goal differential (+31) makes the team sixth-best in the league.
• The 41 power-play goals the Sabres have put up this season rank 15th in the NHL (on 199 power-play chances).
• Buffalo is 15th in the league with a 20.6% power-play conversion rate.
• The Sabres have scored 10 shorthanded goals this season.
• Buffalo has the league's fourth-best penalty-kill percentage (82.68%).
• Buffalo wins 45.2% of its faceoffs (32nd in NHL).
• The Sabres connect on 12.4% of their shots (fourth in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• With 208 goals (3.2 per game), Toronto has the NHL's 15th-ranked offense.
• The Maple Leafs concede 3.5 goals per game (230 in total), 30th in the league.
• Its -22 goal differential ranks 25th in the league.
• The Maple Leafs have 32 power-play goals (24th in NHL) on 159 chances.
• Toronto's power-play percentage (20.13) ranks the team 19th in the league.
• This season, the Maple Leafs have four shorthanded goals (21st in league).
• Toronto's has the third-best penalty-kill percentage (83.53%).
• Toronto wins 55.9% of faceoffs, No. 1 in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs' 11.5% shooting percentage is ninth in the league.