Rangers vs. Lightning NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 29
29 November 2025

The New York Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning -- both coming off wins -- will meet on Saturday at 2 p.m. ET, at Madison Square Garden in New York City. Rangers (-125) versus Lightning (+105) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.
New York won 6-2 on the road its last time out on Nov. 28 against the Boston Bruins. Artemi Panarin led the Rangers with four points (one goal and three assists).
In its last game on Nov. 28, Tampa Bay secured a 6-3 road victory against the Detroit Red Wings. Darren Raddysh's three points (one goal and two assists) in that outing led the Lightning.
Before watching this matchup, here is our pick for which team will secure the win in Saturday's hockey action.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Rangers vs. Lightning Predictions & Pick
For the upcoming game between the New York Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Rangers 3 - Lightning 2
- Pick OU:
Under 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 5.06 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Rangers vs. Lightning Moneylines
Take a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Rangers-Lightning game.
- Favorite: Rangers (-125)
- Underdog: Lightning (+105)
Rangers Betting Insights
- In the 14 times this season the Rangers have been favored on the moneyline, they have gone 8-6 in those games.
- When it has played with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter, New York is 5-6 (winning 45.5% of the time).
- The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Rangers have a 55.6% chance to win.
- In eight games this season, New York and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.
Lightning Betting Insights
- The Lightning have been an underdog in seven games this season, and won four (57.1%).
- This season Tampa Bay has won two of its four games when it's the underdog by at least +105 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 48.8% chance of victory for the Lightning.
- Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to score over 6.5 goals in 10 of 24 games this season.
Rangers Key Stats
- New York's 70 total goals (2.7 per game) rank 23rd in the NHL.
- Defensively, the Rangers are one of the stingiest squads in NHL action, allowing 67 total goals (2.6 per game) to rank eighth.
- Its +3 goal differential ranks 11th in the league.
- The 13 power-play goals the Rangers have scored this season (on 59 power-play chances) rank 19th in the NHL.
- New York has the league's 13th-ranked power-play conversion rate (22.03%).
- The Rangers have recorded two shorthanded goals this season (11th among NHL teams).
- New York's 80.26% penalty-kill success rate ranks 18th in the league.
- New York wins the fourth-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 53.6%.
- The Rangers connect on 10.3% of their shots (23rd in the league).
Lightning Key Stats
- With 80 goals (3.3 per game), Tampa Bay has the NHL's sixth-best offense.
- The Lightning have one of the top defenses in the NHL, giving up 64 total goals (2.7 per game), fourth in the league.
- With a goal differential of +16, the team is fourth-best in the league in that category.
- With 12 power-play goals (on 75 chances), the Lightning are 20th in the NHL.
- Tampa Bay's power-play percentage (16) ranks the team 23rd in the league.
- This season, the Lightning have two shorthanded goals (11th in league).
- Tampa Bay's penalty-kill rate is 88.46%, No. 1 in the league.
- Tampa Bay is 30th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (45.8%).
- The 12.8% shooting percentage of the Lightning is third in the league.
