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Purdue vs. Valparaiso Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 6

06 November 2026 By Data Skrive

The Purdue Boilermakers (0-1) host the Valparaiso Beacons (1-0) at Mackey Arena, tipping off at 6:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 6, 2026. The Beacons are 19.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 146.5 points.

Purdue heads into this matchup following a 78-72 loss to Gonzaga on Monday. Daniel Jacobsen scored a team-leading 22 points for Purdue in the loss. In its most recent matchup on Monday, Valparaiso claimed an 80-58 victory over Western Illinois. J.T. Pettigrew's team-leading 18 points paced Valparaiso in the victory.

Purdue vs. Valparaiso Odds and Game Time

  • When: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 6:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana
  • Spread favorite: Purdue -19.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Purdue -4545
  • Moneyline underdog: Valparaiso +1538
  • Over/Under: 146.5 points

How to watch Purdue vs. Valparaiso

Betting the Over/Under: Purdue vs. Valparaiso

  • Purdue played 24 games with over 146.5 points scored, its current matchup's over/under, last season.
  • Valparaiso played 16 games last season (50% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 146.5 points.
  • The two teams averaged a combined 7.1 more points per game (153.6) a season ago than this matchup's over/under of 146.5 points.
  • Opponents of these two teams averaged a combined 142 points per game last season, 4.5 fewer than the point total in this game.
  • Purdue's average point total in matchups last year was 152.2, 5.7 points higher than the total in this game.
  • Valparaiso's games in 2025 averaged an over/under of 143.5 points, 3.0 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
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Betting the Spread: Purdue vs. Valparaiso

  • Purdue went 17-22-0 ATS last season.
  • The Boilermakers covered the spread four times last season (4-3 ATS) when playing as at least 19.5-point favorites.
  • Valparaiso compiled a 21-11-0 ATS record last season.
  • The Beacons did not cover the spread last year (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 19.5-point underdogs.
  • Purdue was 5-12 against the spread, and 12-5 overall, at home last year.
  • At home last season, as a 19.5-point favorite or more, Purdue was 3-3 ATS.
  • Valparaiso was 10-4 against the spread, and 4-10 overall, away from home last season.

Betting the Moneyline: Purdue vs. Valparaiso

  • Purdue was favored on the moneyline 33 total times last season. It went 26-7 in those games.
  • The Boilermakers won all five games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -4545 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, Purdue's implied win probability is 97.8%.
  • Valparaiso was an underdog 20 times last season and won seven, or 35%, of those games.
  • The Beacons played as an underdog of +1538 or more once last season and lost that game.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 6.1% chance of a victory for Valparaiso.

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