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Purdue vs. Texas Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Sweet 16

23 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers (29-8) and No. 11 Texas Longhorns (21-14) will face off on Thursday at 7:10 p.m., live from SAP Center at San Jose and airing on CBS, with both teams looking for a spot in the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight. Bookmakers have declared Purdue as the favorite to advance past the Sweet 16 in the West Region bracket, giving the a 7.5-point edge. The matchup has an over/under set at 147.5 points.

In its last time out, Purdue won on Sunday 79-69 over Miami (FL). In Purdue's win, Fletcher Loyer led the way with a team-high 24 points (adding one rebound and two assists). Texas came out on top in its most recent game 74-68 against Gonzaga on Saturday. Jordan Pope scored a team-leading 17 points for Texas in the victory.

Purdue vs. Texas Odds and Game Time

  • When: Thursday, March 26, 2026 at 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, California
  • Spread favorite: Purdue -7.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Purdue -365
  • Moneyline underdog: Texas +279
  • Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Purdue vs. Texas

Betting the Over/Under: Purdue vs. Texas

  • Purdue and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (147.5 points) 23 times this season.
  • There have been 25 Texas games that finished with a combined score over 147.5 points this season.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 165.1 points per game, 17.6 points more than the total of 147.5 for this matchup.
  • The 146.2 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 1.3 less than the 147.5-point total in this contest.
  • On average, Purdue has had a 152.3-point over/under in its games this season, 4.8 more points than the over/under in this contest.
  • A difference of 11.5 points separates the average over/under in Texas' games (159 points) and this contest's over/under (147.5).
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Betting the Spread: Purdue vs. Texas

  • Against the spread, Purdue is 17-20-0 this year.
  • The Boilermakers have been favored by 7.5 points or more 23 times this season and are 10-13 ATS in those contests.
  • Against the spread, Texas is 20-15-0 this season.
  • This year, the Longhorns have an ATS record of 3-4 in their seven games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.
  • Purdue is 5-12 against the spread, and 12-5 overall, at home this year.
  • At home, Purdue is 5-8 ATS as a 7.5-point favorite or more.
  • Texas is 4-6 overall, and 7-3 against the spread, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Purdue vs. Texas

  • Purdue has been the moneyline favorite in 32 games this season and won 25 (78.1%) of those contests.
  • This season, the Boilermakers have won 19 of their 20 games, or 95%, when favored by at least -365 on the moneyline.
  • Purdue has a 78.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Texas has come away with eight wins in the 16 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
  • This season, the Longhorns have come away with a win one times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +279 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Texas has a 26.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

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