Purdue vs. Texas Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Sweet 16
23 March 2026

The No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers (29-8) and the No. 11 Texas Longhorns (21-14) will meet on Thursday to compete for a spot in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. Purdue is favored by 7.5 points in the Sweet 16 matchup, which tips off at 7:10 p.m. ET on CBS. The over/under is set at 148.5 in the matchup.
Purdue is coming off of a 79-69 victory against Miami (FL) in its last outing on Sunday. In the victory, Fletcher Loyer led Purdue with 24 points. In its most recent game on Saturday, Texas claimed a 74-68 win against Gonzaga. Jordan Pope scored a team-high 17 points for Texas in the win.
Purdue vs. Texas Odds and Game Time
- When: Thursday, March 26, 2026 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, California
- Spread favorite: Purdue -7.5
- Moneyline favorite: Purdue -361
- Moneyline underdog: Texas +277
- Over/Under: 148.5 points
How to watch Purdue vs. Texas
Betting the Over/Under: Purdue vs. Texas
- A total of 21 of Purdue's games this season have gone over Thursday's total of 148.5 points.
- This season, 23 games Texas has played finished with a combined score higher than 148.5 points.
- The Boilermakers average 82.2 points per game against the Longhorns' 82.9, totaling 16.6 points over the contest's point total of 148.5.
- The 146.2 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 2.3 less than the 148.5-point total in this contest.
- On average, Purdue has had a 152.3-point over/under in its games this season, 3.8 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- The over/under for this matchup is 10.5 points lower than the average over/under in Texas' games this season (159.0 points).
Betting the Spread: Purdue vs. Texas
- Purdue is 17-20-0 against the spread this year.
- This season, the Boilermakers have an against-the-spread record of 10-13 in their 23 games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
- Texas has played 35 games, with 20 wins against the spread.
- This season, the Longhorns have an against-the-spread record of 3-4 in their seven games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.
- Purdue is 12-5 overall, and 5-12 against the spread, at home.
- This year, as a 7.5-point favorite or more at home, Purdue is 5-8 ATS.
- In away games, Texas is 7-3 against the spread, and 4-6 overall.
Betting the Moneyline: Purdue vs. Texas
- Purdue has entered the game as moneyline favorites 32 times this season and won 25, or 78.1%, of those games.
- The Boilermakers are 19-1 this season when entering a game favored by -361 or more on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Purdue has a 78.3% chance to win.
- Texas has come away with eight wins in the 16 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
- The Longhorns have a mark of 1-3 in contests where bookmakers give them odds of +277 or worse on the moneyline.
- Texas has an implied victory probability of 26.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
