Steelers vs. Dolphins Week 15 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
09 December 2025

Having taken four in a row, the Miami Dolphins (6-7) will play the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6). Despite that, the Steelers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The matchup has an over/under of 42.5 points.
The Steelers are totaling 23.7 points per game offensively this season (14th in NFL), and they are surrendering 23.9 points per game (20th) on the defensive side of the ball. In terms of points scored the Dolphins rank 21st in the NFL (21.6 points per game), and they are 15th defensively (22.8 points allowed per game).
Steelers vs. Dolphins Odds and Game Time
- Date: Monday, December 15, 2025
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- City: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Venue: Acrisure Stadium
- Total: 42.5 points
- Spread: Steelers -3
- Moneyline: Steelers (-175), Dolphins (+145)
How to watch Steelers vs. Dolphins
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Live Stream: Fubo
Betting the Over/Under: Steelers vs. Dolphins
- The Steelers and their opponents have gone over 42.5 combined points in nine of 13 games this season.
- A total of seven out of 13 Pittsburgh games this season have hit the over.
- The Dolphins have played eight games this season that finished with a combined score over 42.5 points.
- Miami and its opponent have combined to hit the over seven out of 13 times this season.
- The two teams average 45.3 points per game combined, 2.8 more points than this game's total.
- These two teams give up 46.7 points per game combined, 4.2 more points than the total for this contest.
Betting the Spread: Steelers vs. Dolphins
- Pittsburgh has put together a 6-7-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Pittsburgh has been favored by 3 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
- The Dolphins have put together a 7-6-0 record against the spread this season.
- Miami has an ATS record of 4-1 when playing as at least 3-point underdogs this season.
- The Steelers are 4-3 overall, and 4-3 against the spread, at home.
- At home, as 3-point favorites or greater, Pittsburgh has two wins ATS (2-1).
- Away from home, the Dolphins are 3-3 against the spread and 2-4 overall.
- Miami is unbeaten ATS (2-0) as 3-point underdogs or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: Steelers vs. Dolphins
- Pittsburgh is 4-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games).
- The Dolphins have won two of the seven games they've played as underdogs this season.
- Pittsburgh has gone 2-2 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -175 or shorter (50%).
- Miami has a record of 2-3 when it is set as an underdog of +145 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- Based on this contest's moneyline, the Steelers have an implied win probability of 63.6%.
Dunkel Prediction for Steelers vs. Dolphins
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Dolphins (+3) | Under (42.5) | Steelers 17 - Dolphins 16 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
