Steelers vs. Browns Week 17 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
23 December 2025

The Cleveland Browns (3-12) will be aiming to end a four-game losing run against the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6). The Steelers are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The total for this one is set at 35.5 points.
With 363.1 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL, the Steelers have been forced to lean on their 27th-ranked offense (301 yards per contest) to keep them competitive. While the Browns' offense has had trouble moving the chains, ranking third-worst with 266.3 total yards per game, their defense ranks second-best with only 277.8 total yards allowed per contest.
Steelers vs. Browns Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- City: Cleveland, Ohio
- Venue: Huntington Bank Field
- Total: 35.5 points
- Spread: Steelers -3.5
- Moneyline: Steelers (-185), Browns (+154)
How to watch Steelers vs. Browns
- TV Channel: CBS (WKBN-Youngstown, OH)
- Live Stream: Fubo
Betting the Over/Under: Steelers vs. Browns
- The Steelers and their opponents have scored more than 35.5 points in 11 of 15 games this season.
- In Pittsburgh's 15 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total nine times.
- The Browns and their opponents have combined to score more than 35.5 points in nine of 15 games this season.
- In 2025, eight Cleveland games have gone over the point total.
- These two teams score 40.7 points per game combined, 5.2 more than this game's over/under.
- Opponents of these teams score 47 combined points per game, 11.5 more points than this matchup's total.
Betting the Spread: Steelers vs. Browns
- Pittsburgh has put together an 8-7-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Pittsburgh is 3-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
- The Browns have put together a 6-9-0 record against the spread this season.
- Cleveland has been an underdog by 3.5 points or more 11 times this year, and covered the spread in four of those games.
- The Browns are 5-3 against the spread, and 2-6 overall, at home this season.
- This year, as 3.5-point underdogs or greater at home, Cleveland is 4-2 ATS.
- The Steelers are 3-4 against the spread, and 4-3 overall, on the road.
- Pittsburgh is winless ATS (0-1) as 3.5-point favorites or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: Steelers vs. Browns
- Pittsburgh has a 5-2 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 71.4% of those games).
- The Browns have been underdogs in 12 games this season and won two (16.7%) of those contests.
- Pittsburgh has a 2-2 record (winning 50% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -185 or shorter.
- Cleveland has entered 11 games this season as the underdog by +154 or more and is 1-10 in those contests.
- Based on this game's moneyline, the Steelers have an implied win probability of 64.9%.
Dunkel Prediction for Steelers vs. Browns
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Browns (+3.5) | Under (35.5) | Steelers 13 - Browns 12 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
