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Pirates vs. Mets Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Aug. 7

07 August 2026 By Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Pirates hope to halt their three-game losing run versus the New York Mets, on Friday at 6:40 p.m. ET. Carmen Mlodzinski (6-3, 3.15 ERA) gets the start for the Pirates, who are 57-60 this season and fifth in the NL Central. Zach Thornton (2-2, 2.88 ERA) is starting for the Mets, who are 50-66 and fifth in the NL East.

At home, the Pirates are favored to win on the moneyline (-134) over the Mets (+119). The over/under for the Pirates-Mets game is 8.

Pirates vs. Mets Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, August 7, 2026
  • Game time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: PNC Park
  • Favorite: Pirates (-134)
  • Underdog: Mets (+119)
  • Over/under: 8

How to Watch Pirates vs. Mets

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Pirates vs. Mets: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Pirates are 35-27 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 56.5% of those games).
  • New York has been underdogs in 48 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (31.2%) in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh is 18-17 this season when entering a game favored by -134 or more on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Mets have come away with a win one times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Pirates' implied win probability is 57.3%.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Pirates vs. Mets: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Pirates have played in 117 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 64 times (64-50-3).
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of its 116 games with a total.
  • The Pirates have covered 48.7% of their games this season, going 57-60-0 against the spread.
  • The Mets are 54-62-0 against the spread in their 116 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
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