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Phillies vs. Rays Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 27

27 September 2026 By Data Skrive

Luis Arraez leads the Philadelphia Phillies into a matchup against Chandler Simpson and the Tampa Bay Rays at Citizens Bank Park, Sunday at 3:05 p.m. ET. Arraez is hitting .310, third-best in the league, and Simpson ranks fourth at .306. Zack Wheeler (13-5, 3.06 ERA) gets the start for the Phillies, who are 87-74 this season and second in the NL East. Nick Martinez (15-5, 2.94 ERA) is starting for the Rays, who are 98-63 and first in the AL East.

With the Rays (+139) visiting, the Phillies (-170) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The total in this contest is set at 6.5.

Phillies vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Sunday, September 27, 2026
  • Game time: 3:05 p.m. ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park
  • Favorite: Phillies (-170)
  • Underdog: Rays (+139)
  • Over/under: 6.5

How to Watch Phillies vs. Rays

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Phillies vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Phillies have put together a 75-46 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 62% of those games).
  • Tampa Bay has come away with 28 wins in the 54 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 36-13, a 73.5% win rate, when favored by -170 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • This year, the Rays have won three of four games when listed as at least +139 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Phillies have an implied win probability of 63%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 41.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Phillies have played in 161 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 75 times (75-78-8).
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 73 of its 161 opportunities.
  • The Phillies have a 68-93-0 record against the spread this season (covering 42.2% of the time).
  • The Rays have an against the spread mark of 85-76-0 in 161 games with a line this season.
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