Eagles vs. Commanders Week 18 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Philadelphia Eagles (11-5) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -4.5) over the Washington Commanders (4-12). The Eagles have won three games straight. The matchup has an over/under of 38.5 points.

The Eagles rank 18th in points scored this season (22.6 points per game), but they've been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 18.8 points allowed per game. From an offensive standpoint, the Commanders are posting 20.8 points per contest (25th-ranked). They rank 27th in the NFL defensively (27.1 points surrendered per game).

Eagles vs. Commanders Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• City: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
• Total: 38.5 points
• Spread: Eagles -4.5
• Moneyline: Eagles (-230), Commanders (+190)

How to watch Eagles vs. Commanders

• TV Channel: CBS (WLNS-Lansing, MI)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Eagles vs. Commanders

• The Eagles and their opponents have combined to score more than 38.5 points in 10 of 16 games this season.
• Philadelphia games have hit the over six out of 16 times this season.
• The Commanders have played 11 games this season that finished with a combined score above 38.5 points.
• Washington games have hit the over nine out of 16 times this year.
• These teams score 43.4 points per game combined, 4.9 more than this game's point total.
• Combined, these teams give up 45.9 points per game, 7.4 more points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Eagles vs. Commanders

• Philadelphia has compiled a 10-6-0 record against the spread this season.
• Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS this season when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
• The Commanders have covered six times in 16 games with a spread this season.
• Washington has covered the spread twice as an underdog by 4.5 points or more this year (in five opportunities).
• At home this season, the Eagles are 5-2 overall and 4-3 against the spread.
• Philadelphia has two wins ATS (2-3) as 4.5-point favorites or more at home.
• In away games, the Commanders have two wins against the spread and are 2-6 overall.
• Washington is winless ATS (0-1) as 4.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Eagles vs. Commanders

• Philadelphia has won 64.3% of the games this season when it was favored on the moneyline (9-5).
• This season, the Commanders have been the underdog 12 times and won two of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 4-2 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -230 or shorter (66.7%).
• This season, Washington has been at least a +190 underdog on the moneyline five times, losing each of those contests.
• The Eagles have a 69.7% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Eagles vs. Commanders

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