Penguins vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Nov. 29

The Pittsburgh Penguins and Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a victory and a defeat, respectively, heading into their meeting at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET. The oddsmakers see this as a tight one, with the Penguins -112 to win on the moneyline, and the Maple Leafs at -108.

Pittsburgh won 4-3 on the road its last time out on Nov. 28 against the Columbus Blue Jackets. The Penguins got two points apiece out of three players, including Thomas Novak (two assists) and Kris Letang (one goal and one assist).

Toronto played on the road in its last game on Nov. 28, and lost 4-2 against the Washington Capitals. Six Maple Leafs skaters recorded one point each in that matchup, including Auston Matthews (one assist) and Nicolas Roy (one assist).

Before this matchup, here is who we predict to emerge victorious in Saturday's hockey contest.

Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Penguins 3 - Maple Leafs 1
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 4.00 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the latest moneylines for the Penguins-Maple Leafs matchup.

• Favorite: Penguins (-112)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (-108)

Penguins Betting Insights

• The Penguins have been victorious in three of their seven games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (42.9%).
• When playing with moneyline odds of -112 or shorter, Pittsburgh has compiled a 3-4 record (winning 42.9% of its games).
• The Penguins have a 52.8% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this matchup.
• Pittsburgh's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 10 times.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• This season the Maple Leafs have been an underdog in six games, and failed to win any of them.
• Toronto has been at least a -108 moneyline underdog six times this season, and lost each of those games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 51.9% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
• Toronto and its opponent have combined to score over 6.5 goals in 17 of 24 games this season.

Penguins Key Stats

• Pittsburgh ranks 19th in the NHL with 72 goals scored (3.1 per game).
• Defensively, the Penguins have been one of the stingiest units in league play, conceding 60 total goals (2.6 per game) to rank third.
• Its +12 goal differential is the sixth-best in the league.
• The 16 power-play goals the Penguins have scored this season (on 53 power-play chances) rank 13th in the NHL.
• Pittsburgh's 30.19% power-play conversion rate is the second-best in the league.
• The Penguins have scored one shorthanded goal this season.
• Pittsburgh kills 85.71% of opponent power plays, the fourth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Pittsburgh wins 49.9% of its faceoffs to rank 15th in the NHL.
• The Penguins shoot 11.8% as a team (seventh in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto is ninth in the league in scoring (78 goals, 3.2 per game).
• The Maple Leafs' total of 87 goals conceded (3.6 per game) is 28th in the NHL.
• it has the 23rd-ranked goal differential in the league at -9.
• With nine power-play goals (on 60 chances), the Maple Leafs are 31st in the NHL.
• Toronto has the league's 26th-ranked power-play percentage (15%).
• The Maple Leafs have one shorthanded goal (19th in league).
• At 81.43%, Toronto has the 14th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Toronto is second in faceoff win rate in the NHL (56.5%).
• The 11.9% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is fifth in the league.