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Panthers vs. Lightning NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 27

26 December 2025 By Data Skrive

The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning -- both coming off victories in their last game -- will play on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET, at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise. The Lightning are slight underdogs, at -108, and the Panthers are -112.

Florida secured a 5-2 road victory over the Carolina Hurricanes its last time out on Dec. 23. Sam Reinhart led the Panthers with three points (three assists).

In its last game on Dec. 22, Tampa Bay earned a 4-1 home victory against the St. Louis Blues. Darren Raddysh led the Lightning with three points (one goal and two assists) in that matchup.

Prepare for this showdown with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory in Saturday's contest.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Panthers vs. Lightning Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Lightning 4 - Panthers 3
  • Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.91 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Panthers vs. Lightning Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Panthers-Lightning game.

  • Favorite: Panthers (-112)
  • Underdog: Lightning (-108)

Panthers Betting Insights

  • The Panthers are 13-14 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • Florida is 13-14 when playing with moneyline odds of -112 or shorter (48.1% win percentage).
  • The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Panthers have a 52.8% chance to win.
  • Florida's 36 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 5.5 goals 20 times.

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning have been an underdog in eight games this season, and won five (62.5%).
  • Tampa Bay is 5-3 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -108 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 51.9% chance of victory for the Lightning.
  • Tampa Bay has combined with its opponent to score over 5.5 goals in 18 of 36 games this season.

Panthers Key Stats

  • Florida's 115 total goals (3.2 per game) rank 13th in the NHL.
  • The Panthers rank 18th in goals against, allowing 113 total goals (3.1 per game) in league action.
  • Its +2 goal differential ranks 13th in the league.
  • The 24 power-play goals the Panthers have put up this season are 10th-best in the NHL (on 126 power-play chances).
  • Florida's 19.05% power-play conversion rate ranks 17th in the league.
  • The Panthers have scored five shorthanded goals this season.
  • Florida kills 82.2% of opponent power plays, the 11th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Florida wins 47.5% of its faceoffs to rank 25th in the NHL.
  • The Panthers shoot 10.9% as a team (13th in the league).

Lightning Key Stats

  • With 117 goals (3.2 per game), Tampa Bay has the NHL's eighth-best offense.
  • The Lightning have one of the best defenses in the NHL, allowing 94 total goals (2.6 per game), third in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of +23, the team is third-best in the league in that category.
  • The Lightning have 20 power-play goals (18th in NHL) on 116 chances.
  • Tampa Bay scores on 17.24% of its power plays, No. 22 in the NHL.
  • The Lightning have two shorthanded goals (17th in league).
  • The 84.35% penalty-kill percentage of Tampa Bay is third in the NHL.
  • At 46.8%, Tampa Bay has the NHL's 27th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
  • The 11.8% shooting percentage of the Lightning is fifth in the league.

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