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Oilers vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Dec. 16

16 December 2025 By Data Skrive

The Edmonton Oilers and Pittsburgh Penguins -- both coming off defeats -- will play on Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET, at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh. The sportsbooks have made the Oilers solid favorites at -142 on the moneyline, despite being away from home, and the Penguins are at +120.

Edmonton lost 4-1 on the road its last time out on Dec. 14 against the Montreal Canadiens. Zach Hyman (one goal) and Evan Bouchard (one assist) were among the three Oilers skaters who put up one point each.

Pittsburgh's most recent game was a home overtime loss, 5-4, to the Utah Mammoth on Dec. 14. Benjamin Kindel had three points (one goal and two assists) in that outing for the Penguins.

As hockey play continues, prepare for the matchup by checking out which club we predict will win Tuesday's game.

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Oilers vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Edmonton Oilers and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Oilers 4 - Penguins 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.04 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Oilers vs. Penguins Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Oilers-Penguins game.

  • Favorite: Oilers (-142)
  • Underdog: Penguins (+120)

Oilers Betting Insights

  • The Oilers have won 50.0% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (13-13).
  • Edmonton is 9-8 (winning 52.9% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -142 or shorter.
  • The Oilers have a 58.7% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this matchup.
  • Edmonton's 33 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 18 times.

Penguins Betting Insights

  • This season the Penguins have won 11 of the 20 games, or 55.0%, in which they've been an underdog.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 5-8 in games when sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +120 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Penguins have a 45.5% chance to win.
  • Pittsburgh's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 15 of 31 times.

Oilers Key Stats

  • Edmonton's 110 total goals (3.3 per game) rank fourth in the NHL.
  • Defensively, the Oilers are giving up 112 total goals (3.4 per game) to rank 30th in league play.
  • Its goal differential (-2) ranks 18th in the league.
  • The 26 power-play goals the Oilers have scored this season (on 85 power-play chances) are the third-most in the NHL.
  • Edmonton's 30.59% power-play conversion rate is the third-best in the league.
  • The three shorthanded goals the Oilers have scored this season rank eighth among NHL teams.
  • Edmonton's 80.22% penalty-kill success rate ranks 17th in the league.
  • Edmonton has the sixth-best faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 52.8%.
  • The Oilers shoot 11.6% as a team (sixth in the league).

Penguins Key Stats

  • Pittsburgh has 99 goals this season (3.2 per game), 14th in the NHL.
  • The Penguins have allowed 91 total goals this season (2.9 per game), 12th in the NHL.
  • Its +8 goal differential is the seventh-best in the league.
  • The Penguins have 27 power-play goals (second-most in NHL) on 84 chances.
  • Pittsburgh scores on 32.14% of its power plays, tops in the league.
  • This season, the Penguins have one shorthanded goal (22nd in NHL).
  • Pittsburgh's has the fifth-best penalty-kill percentage (84.04%).
  • Pittsburgh wins 50.4% of faceoffs, 13th-ranked in the NHL.
  • The Penguins' 11.3% shooting percentage is ninth in the league.

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