Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 29

The Northern Iowa Panthers (9-3, 1-0 MVC) host the Valparaiso Beacons (6-6, 0-1 MVC) at McLeod Center, starting at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, December 29, 2025. The Beacons are 11.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 128.5 points.

Northern Iowa fell in its most recent game 63-58 against Saint Mary's (CA) on Tuesday. In the losing effort, Trey Campbell paced Northern Iowa with 18 points. Valparaiso's last game was an 85-79 loss to Murray State on Sunday. Owen Dease recorded 25 points, four rebounds and two assists for Valparaiso.

Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, December 29, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: McLeod Center in Cedar Falls, Iowa
• Spread favorite: Northern Iowa -11.5
• Moneyline favorite: Northern Iowa -962
• Moneyline underdog: Valparaiso +635
• Over/Under: 128.5 points

How to watch Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso

• Northern Iowa and its opponents have combined to outscore Monday's over/under of 128.5 points four times this season.
• There have been nine Valparaiso games that finished with a combined score over 128.5 points this season.
• The Panthers average 71.2 points per game against the Beacons' 73.3, amounting to 16.0 points over the contest's point total of 128.5.
• This game's over/under is 0.8 less than the 129.3 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• On average, Northern Iowa has seen a 129.3-point over/under in its games this season, 0.8 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Valparaiso's games have an average over/under of 144.5 points this season, 16.0 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso

• Northern Iowa is 6-4-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Panthers are winless against the spread when entering a game as a favorite of 11.5 points or more.
• Valparaiso has seven wins against the spread in 11 games this year.
• The Beacons have covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 11.5 points or more (in three chances).
• Northern Iowa is 5-1 overall, and 3-3 against the spread, at home.
• At home, Northern Iowa is winless ATS (0-1) as a 11.5-point favorite or greater.
• Valparaiso is 3-1 against the spread, and 1-3 overall, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso

• This season, Northern Iowa has been moneyline favorites nine times and won seven of those games.
• The Panthers have played as a favorite of -962 or more once this season and won that game.
• Northern Iowa has a 90.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Valparaiso has come away with one win in the six contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This season, the Beacons have been a moneyline underdog of -962 or more three times, losing every contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Valparaiso has a 13.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.