North Carolina vs. SMU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - January 7
07 January 2025

The North Carolina Tar Heels (9-6, 2-1 ACC) host the SMU Mustangs (11-3, 2-1 ACC) at Dean E. Smith Center, starting at 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, January 7, 2025. The Mustangs are 6-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has a point total of 166.
In its most recent matchup on Saturday, North Carolina claimed a 74-73 victory against Notre Dame. Ian Jackson totaled 27 points, six rebounds and one assist for North Carolina. SMU's most recent contest was an 89-62 loss to Duke on Saturday. Kevin Miller totaled 21 points, two rebounds and five assists for SMU.
North Carolina vs. SMU Odds and Game Time
- When: Tuesday, January 7, 2025 at 9:00 PM ET
- Where: Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
- Spread favorite: North Carolina -6
- Moneyline favorite: North Carolina -277
- Moneyline underdog: SMU +225
- Over/Under: 166 points
How to watch North Carolina vs. SMU
- TV Channel: ACCN
- Live Stream: Fubo
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: North Carolina vs. SMU
- This season, North Carolina's games have gone over this game's 166-point total seven times.
- This season, five games SMU has played finished with a combined score over 166 points.
- Together, the two teams combine for 170 points per game, four points more than the over/under of 166 for this contest.
- These two teams give up a combined 151.3 points per game, 14.7 less than this contest's over/under.
- On average, the over/under in North Carolina's games is 2.2 fewer points than the over/under of 166 in this contest.
- The over/under for this contest is 8.6 points higher than the average over/under in SMU's games this season of 157.4.
Betting the Spread: North Carolina vs. SMU
- North Carolina is 5-10-0 against the spread this year.
- This season, the Tar Heels have an against-the-spread record of 3-4 in their seven games as a favorite of 6 points or more.
- In SMU's 14 games this year, it has seven wins against the spread.
- The Mustangs have been underdogs by 6 points or more one time this year and have not covered the spread once.
- At home this year, North Carolina has two wins against the spread and is 5-1 overall.
- At home, as a 6-point favorite or greater, North Carolina has two wins ATS (2-3).
- SMU is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 6-point underdogs or more on the road.
Betting the Moneyline: North Carolina vs. SMU
- This season, North Carolina has won eight out of the 10 games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- The Tar Heels have been at least a -277 moneyline favorite seven times this season and won each of those games.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 73.5% chance of a victory for North Carolina.
- SMU was defeated in both of the contests it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
- The Mustangs have played as an underdog of +225 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- SMU has an implied victory probability of 30.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.