Lightning vs. Devils NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 11

The Tampa Bay Lightning and New Jersey Devils -- both coming off losses in their last game -- will play on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. The Devils are underdogs on the road, at +120, and the Lightning are -142.

Before watching this matchup, here's our prediction for which club will secure the win in Saturday's hockey action.

Lightning vs. Devils Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and New Jersey Devils, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Lightning 3 - Devils 2
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.04 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Devils Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Devils matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-142)
• Underdog: Devils (+120)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning were a moneyline favorite 64 times last season, and finished 41-23 in those games.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -142 or shorter, Tampa Bay had a 33-18 record (winning 64.7% of its games).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Lightning have an implied win probability of 58.7%.
• Of Tampa Bay's 87 games last season, 37 finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals.

Devils Betting Insights

• The Devils won six, or 31.6%, of the 19 games they played as an underdog last season.
• New Jersey played 12 games last season as an underdog by +120 or more and went 2-10.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 45.5% chance of victory for the Devils.
• New Jersey's games last season had more than 6.5 goals 29 of 87 times.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 292 total goals (3.6 per game, with 6.1 assists per game) led the league last season.
• Defensively, the Lightning were one of the stingiest squads in NHL play, giving up 216 total goals (2.6 per game) to rank fourth.
• Its goal differential (+76) made it second-best in the league.
• The 60 power-play goals the Lightning put up last season (fifth-most in the NHL) came via 232 power-play chances.
• Tampa Bay's 25.86% power-play conversion rate was the fifth-best in the league.
• The Lightning scored 11 shorthanded goals last season.
• Tampa Bay's 81.55% penalty-kill success rate was the sixth-best in the league.
• Tampa Bay had the 16th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 50.1%.
• The Lightning had a 12.5% shooting percentage, which ranked second in the league.

Devils Key Stats

• New Jersey had 240 goals last season (2.9 per game), 20th in the league.
• The Devils gave up 2.7 goals per game (220 in total), the fifth-fewest in the league.
• It had the 12th-ranked goal differential in the league at +20.
• The Devils had 61 power-play goals (on 216 chances), fourth in the NHL.
• New Jersey scored on 28.24% of its power plays, No. 3 in the league.
• The Devils had seven shorthanded goals (12th in NHL).
• At 82.67%, New Jersey had the second-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• New Jersey was 18th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (49.8%).
• With a shooting percentage of 10.4%, the Devils were 19th in the league.