North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 16

The No. 12 North Carolina Tar Heels (9-1) host the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (8-3) at Dean E. Smith Center, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 16, 2025. The Buccaneers are 16.5-point underdogs in the game. The point total is set at 149.5 in the matchup.

North Carolina won its last outing 80-62 against South Carolina Upstate on Saturday. Caleb Wilson recorded 20 points, 11 rebounds and three assists for North Carolina. East Tennessee State's most recent outing was a 76-75 loss to Austin Peay on Friday. Brian Taylor II recorded 19 points, four rebounds and three assists for East Tennessee State.

North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, December 16, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
• Spread favorite: North Carolina -16.5
• Moneyline favorite: North Carolina -2000
• Moneyline underdog: East Tennessee State +1022
• Over/Under: 149.5 points

How to watch North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State

• TV Channel: ACC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State

• Four of North Carolina's games this season have gone over Tuesday's over/under of 149.5 points.
• This season, five games East Tennessee State has played finished with a combined score higher than 149.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 161.8 points per game, 12.3 points more than the over/under of 149.5 for this game.
• These two teams give up a combined 130.2 points per game, 19.3 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for North Carolina's games is 145.8 points, 3.7 lower than the over/under of 149.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 3.3 points separates this matchup's over/under (149.5 points) and the average over/under in East Tennessee State's games (146.2) this season.

Betting the Spread: North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State

• In North Carolina's 10 games this year, it has six wins against the spread.
• The Tar Heels have been favored by 16.5 points or more five times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
• East Tennessee State has played nine games, with six wins against the spread.
• At home this season, North Carolina is 4-3 against the spread and 7-0 overall.
• North Carolina has two wins ATS (2-3) as a 16.5-point favorite or more at home.
• East Tennessee State is 1-3 overall, with only one win against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State

• This season, North Carolina has been listed as the moneyline favorite in seven games and won them all.
• The Tar Heels are undefeated in four games this season when favored by -2000 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 95.2% chance of a victory for North Carolina.
• East Tennessee State has split the two games it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
• The Buccaneers have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +1022.
• East Tennessee State has an implied victory probability of 8.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State

• Pick ATS: North Carolina (- 16.5)
• Pick OU: Under (149.5)
  
• Prediction: North Carolina 83 - East Tennessee State 60