Yankees vs. Mets Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 16

The New York Mets will look to Juan Soto, riding a two-game homer streak, against the New York Yankees at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, at Citi Field. Carlos Rodon (0-0, 6.23 ERA) will start for the Yankees, who are 28-17 this season and second in the AL East. Huascar Brazoban (2-1, 2.14 ERA) is the expected starter for the Mets, who are 18-26 and fifth in the NL East.

Sportsbooks have set the Yankees as the moderate moneyline favorites (-120) on the road versus the Mets (+101). The game has an over/under set at 8.5 runs.

Yankees vs. Mets Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, May 16, 2026
• Game time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field
• Favorite: Yankees (-120)
• Underdog: Mets (+101)
• Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Yankees vs. Mets

• TV Channel: FOX
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Yankees vs. Mets: Betting the Moneyline

• The Yankees have put together a 26-16 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 61.9% of those games).
• The Mets have won in three, or 27.3%, of the 11 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• The Yankees have a record of 25-14, a 64.1% win rate, when they're favored by -120 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• This year, the Mets have won one of seven games when listed as at least +101 or better on the moneyline.
• The Yankees have an implied moneyline win probability of 54.5% in this matchup.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Yankees vs. Mets: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Yankees have played in 45 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 18 times (18-24-3).
• Games involving the Mets have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 16 of 44 chances this season.
• The Yankees have a 25-20-0 record ATS this season.
• The Mets are 17-27-0 against the spread in their 44 games that had a posted line this season.