Chiefs vs. Falcons Week 10 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) are favored by 3.5 points versus the Atlanta Falcons (3-6) on November 15, 2026, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The total for this one is set at 45.5 points.

The Chiefs rank eighth in total defense this year (307.9 yards allowed per game), but they've been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 384.1 total yards per game. With 20.9 points per game on offense, the Falcons rank 23rd in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 20th, surrendering 24.8 points per contest.

Chiefs vs. Falcons Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Total: 45.5 points
• Spread: Chiefs -3.5
• Moneyline: Chiefs (-185), Falcons (+154)

How to watch Chiefs vs. Falcons

• TV Channel: CBS

Betting the Over/Under: Chiefs vs. Falcons

• In four of eight games this season, the Chiefs and their opponents have gone over 45.5 points.
• So far this season, three of Kansas City's eight games have gone over the point total.
• The Falcons have played six games this season that have had more than 45.5 combined points scored.
• Atlanta games have gone over the point total four out of nine times this year.
• The teams combine to score 46.2 points per game, 0.7 more points than this matchup's over/under.
• Opponents of these teams combine to score 42.7 points per game, 2.8 fewer points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Chiefs vs. Falcons

• Kansas City is 4-4-0 ATS this season.
• Kansas City has an ATS record of 3-2 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season.
• The Falcons have compiled a 3-6-0 record against the spread this year.
• Atlanta has covered the spread once when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• The Falcons have covered the spread once at home, and are 1-4 overall there this year.
• On the road, the Chiefs have only one win against the spread and are 2-2 overall.
• On the road, Kansas City has one win ATS (1-1) as 3.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Chiefs vs. Falcons

• Kansas City has gone 6-1 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 85.7% of those games).
• The Falcons have been underdogs in eight games this season and won three (37.5%) of those contests.
• Kansas City has played five times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -185 or shorter, and won in each game.
• This season, Atlanta has won one of its two games when it is the underdog by at least +154 on the moneyline.
• The Chiefs have an implied moneyline win probability of 64.9% in this matchup.

Dunkel Prediction for Chiefs vs. Falcons

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