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Yankees vs. Red Sox Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Sept. 29

29 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Yankees will host the Boston Red Sox in the first game of the AL Wild Card Series at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Cam Schlittler (14-6, 1.95 ERA) gets the start for the Yankees, and Payton Tolle (9-6, 3.03 ERA) is the expected starter for the Red Sox.

Oddsmakers have made the Yankees a decent moneyline favorite (-138) at home over the Red Sox (+115). The contest has an over/under set at 6.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
  • Game time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium
  • Favorite: Yankees (-138)
  • Underdog: Red Sox (+115)
  • Over/under: 6

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Yankees vs. Red Sox: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Yankees have won 59.7% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (77-52).
  • Boston has been underdogs in 50 games this season and has come away with the win 26 times (52%) in those contests.
  • New York has entered 85 games this season favored by -138 or more and is 49-36 in those contests.
  • The Red Sox have a win-loss record of 9-14 when favored by +115 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Yankees a 58% chance to win.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees vs. Red Sox: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 161 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Yankees, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-80-5).
  • So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of its 162 games with a total.
  • The Yankees have covered 50.9% of their games this season, going 82-79-0 against the spread.
  • The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 77-85-0 in 162 games with a line this season.
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