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Mets vs. Nationals Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - April 30

30 April 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Mets will look for another strong showing from a slugger on a roll against the Washington Nationals on Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET, at Citi Field. Juan Soto is currently on a two-game homer streak. Freddy Peralta (1-3, 3.90 ERA) will start for the Mets, who are 10-20 this season and fifth in the NL East. Miles Mikolas (0-3, 8.49 ERA) is expected to start for the Nationals, who are 14-17 and third in the NL East.

The sportsbooks have spoken, making the Mets (-195) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Nationals (+161) at home. The over/under in this contest is set at 8.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, April 30, 2026
  • Game time: 1:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field
  • Favorite: Mets (-195)
  • Underdog: Nationals (+161)
  • Over/under: 8

How to Watch Mets vs. Nationals

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Mets vs. Nationals: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Mets have won eight of the 22 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (36.4%).
  • Washington has won in 14, or 46.7%, of the 30 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • New York has played as favorites of -195 or more twice this season and lost both games.
  • The Nationals have a mark of 4-5 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +161 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Mets' implied win probability is 66.1%.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 38.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mets vs. Nationals: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Mets have played in 30 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 12 times (12-15-3).
  • Washington's games have gone over the total in 20 of its 31 chances.
  • The Mets have a 10-20-0 record ATS this season (covering just 33.3% of the time).
  • The Nationals have posted a record of 18-13-0 against the spread this season.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

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