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Mets vs. Phillies Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 17

17 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Mets will aim to stop a four-game losing streak when hosting the Philadelphia Phillies at 7:15 p.m. ET on Thursday. Nolan McLean (11-9, 3.24 ERA) gets the start for the Mets, who are 69-83 this season and fifth in the NL East. Aaron Nola (6-10, 4.69 ERA) is expected to start for the Phillies, who are 84-68 and second in the NL East.

At home, the Mets are favored to win on the moneyline (-134) over the Phillies (+110). The game has an over/under of 8.5 runs.

Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, September 17, 2026
  • Game time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field
  • Favorite: Mets (-134)
  • Underdog: Phillies (+110)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Mets vs. Phillies

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Mets vs. Phillies: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Mets are 42-39 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 51.9% of those games).
  • Philadelphia has been victorious in 11, or 30.6%, of the 36 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season New York has won 23 of its 47 games, or 48.9%, when favored by at least -134 on the moneyline.
  • This year, the Phillies have won four of 16 games when listed as at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Mets have an implied win probability of 57.3%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 47.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets vs. Phillies: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Mets have had an over/under set by bookmakers 152 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 69 of those games (69-71-12).
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of its 152 opportunities.
  • The Mets have covered 46.1% of their games this season, going 70-82-0 ATS.
  • The Phillies are 65-87-0 against the spread in their 152 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
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