New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 21

The New Mexico State Aggies (6-3, 0-0 CUSA) host the Sam Houston Bearkats (7-3, 0-0 CUSA) at Pan American Center, starting at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 21, 2025. The Aggies are 1.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 156.5 points.

New Mexico State enters this matchup after an 83-70 loss to Tulsa on Saturday. In the loss, Julius Mims led New Mexico State with 16 points. Sam Houston is coming off of an 85-75 win against Oregon State in its last game on Wednesday. In Sam Houston's win, Kashie Natt led the team with 19 points (adding five rebounds and one assist).

New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: Pan American Center in Las Cruces, New Mexico
• Spread favorite: New Mexico State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: New Mexico State -137
• Moneyline underdog: Sam Houston +115
• Over/Under: 156.5 points

How to watch New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston

• This season, New Mexico State's games have not gone over this matchup's 156.5-point over/under.
• This season, six of Sam Houston's games have finished with a combined score higher than 156.5 points.
• The total for the contest of 156.5 is 3.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Aggies (73.6) and Bearkats (86.2).
• This matchup's total is 13.4 fewer points than the 143.1 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• This season the average over/under for New Mexico State's games is 141.3 points, 15.2 lower than the over/under of 156.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 5.0 points lower than the average over/under in Sam Houston's games this season of 161.5.

Betting the Spread: New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston

• New Mexico State is 4-3-0 against the spread this year.
• The Aggies have been favored by 1.5 points or more four times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
• Sam Houston has played eight games, with eight wins against the spread.
• The Bearkats have always covered the spread this year when underdogs by 1.5 points or more in five chances.
• At home, as a 1.5-point favorite or greater, New Mexico State is unbeaten ATS (1-0).
• This season in away games, Sam Houston is 5-0 against the spread and 2-3 overall.
• Away from home, Sam Houston is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 1.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston

• New Mexico State has entered the game as moneyline favorites four times this season and won twice.
• The Aggies have a record of 2-1 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -137 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that New Mexico State has a 57.8% chance to win.
• Sam Houston has been victorious in two of the five contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Bearkats have a win-loss record of 1-3 with odds of +115 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Sam Houston has a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.