New Mexico vs. San Jose State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MWC Tournament

The No. 3 seed New Mexico Lobos (22-9, 13-7 MWC) are favored by 14.5 points when they meet the No. 11 seed San Jose State Spartans (9-23, 3-17 MWC) in the MWC Tournament. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center tipping off at 11:30 p.m. ET and airing on CBS Sports Network. The point total in the matchup is 155.5.

New Mexico dropped its most recent outing 94-90 against Utah State on Saturday. Jake Hall scored a team-leading 32 points for New Mexico in the loss. In its last outing on Wednesday, San Jose State claimed an 84-74 victory over Boise State. In San Jose State's win, Colby Garland led the team with 22 points (adding five rebounds and three assists).

New Mexico vs. San Jose State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 11:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada
• Spread favorite: New Mexico -14.5
• Moneyline favorite: New Mexico -1695
• Moneyline underdog: San Jose State +931
• Over/Under: 155.5 points

How to watch New Mexico vs. San Jose State

• TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico vs. San Jose State

• This season, 14 of New Mexico's 30 games have gone over Thursday's total of 155.5 points.
• This season, 13 games San Jose State has played finished with a combined score higher than 155.5 points.
• The Lobos average 80.7 points per game against the Spartans' 71.8, amounting to three points under the matchup's total of 155.5.
• These two teams surrender a combined 148.9 points per game, 6.6 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for New Mexico's games is 151.6 points, 3.9 fewer than the over/under of 155.5 set for this contest.
• San Jose State's games have an average over/under of 149.9 points this season, 5.6 points lower than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: New Mexico vs. San Jose State

• New Mexico is 16-14-0 against the spread this season.
• The Lobos have an against the spread record of 4-5 in their nine games when favored by 14.5 points or more so far this season.
• Against the spread, San Jose State is 15-16-0 this season.
• The Spartans are 6-3 ATS when underdogs by 14.5 points or more this year.
• At home this year, New Mexico is 8-8 against the spread and 13-3 overall.
• At home, as a 14.5-point favorite or more, New Mexico is 3-4 ATS.
• San Jose State is 1-12 overall, and 7-6 against the spread, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico vs. San Jose State

• New Mexico has entered the game as moneyline favorites 21 times this season and won 17, or 81%, of those games.
• The Lobos have been at least a -1695 moneyline favorite six times this season and won each of those games.
• New Mexico has a 94.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• San Jose State has come away with two wins in the 25 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Spartans have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +931 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies San Jose State has a 9.7% chance of walking away with the win.