New Mexico vs. Alabama State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 26

The New Mexico Lobos (4-2) hit the court against the Alabama State Hornets (3-4) as 18.5-point favorites on Wednesday, November 26, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET on MW Network. The matchup has a point total of 147.5.

In its most recent game on Friday, New Mexico claimed an 80-78 victory against Mississippi State. Tomislav Buljan scored a team-leading 19 points for New Mexico in the victory. Alabama State's most recent outing was an 83-68 loss to SIU-Edwardsville on Sunday. Micah Simpsom scored a team-leading 20 points for Alabama State in the loss.

New Mexico vs. Alabama State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, November 26, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: The Pit in Albuquerque, New Mexico
• Spread favorite: New Mexico -18.5
• Moneyline favorite: New Mexico -2941
• Moneyline underdog: Alabama State +1275
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch New Mexico vs. Alabama State

• TV Channel: Altitude Sports Overflow
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico vs. Alabama State

• New Mexico and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (147.5 points) three times this season.
• There have been five Alabama State games that ended with a combined score over 147.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 155.9 points per game, 8.4 points more than the total of 147.5 for this contest.
• This matchup's total is 2.7 less than the 150.2 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• New Mexico has seen a 144.7 average over/under in its games this season, 2.8 less than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 13.9 points separates the average over/under in Alabama State's games (161.4 points) and this game's over/under (147.5).

Betting the Spread: New Mexico vs. Alabama State

• New Mexico has two wins against the spread in six games this season.
• This season, the Lobos are winless ATS when entering a game as a favorite of 18.5 points or more.
• Alabama State is 3-3-0 against the spread this season.
• The Hornets have been underdogs by 18.5 points or more three times this year and covered the spread once.
• New Mexico has one win against the spread, and is 3-0 overall, at home this season.
• At home, as a 18.5-point favorite or greater, New Mexico is winless ATS (0-2).
• Alabama State has two wins against the spread, and are 1-3 overall, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico vs. Alabama State

• This season, New Mexico has been moneyline favorites four times and won three of those games.
• The Lobos have played as a favorite of -2941 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 96.7% chance of a victory for New Mexico.
• Alabama State has been a moneyline underdog in six games this season and has come away with the win two times (33.3%) in those contests.
• This season, the Hornets have come away with a win one times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +1275 or longer on the moneyline.
• Alabama State has an implied victory probability of 7.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for New Mexico vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: New Mexico (- 18.5)
• Pick OU: Over (147.5)
  
• Prediction: New Mexico 88 - Alabama State 64