Murray State vs. Valparaiso Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 21

The Murray State Racers (9-3, 1-0 MVC) visit the Valparaiso Beacons (6-5, 0-0 MVC) at Athletics-Recreation Center, tipping off at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 21, 2025. The Beacons are 5.5-point underdogs in the game. The over/under for the matchup is 155.5.

Last time out, Murray State won on Thursday 81-72 over Drake. Fredrick King's team-leading 16 points led Murray State in the win. Valparaiso enters this contest after an 86-70 loss to Northwestern on Tuesday. JT Pettigrew's team-high 13 points paced Valparaiso in the losing effort.

Murray State vs. Valparaiso Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET
• Where: Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Murray State -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Murray State -225
• Moneyline underdog: Valparaiso +185
• Over/Under: 155.5 points

How to watch Murray State vs. Valparaiso

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Murray State vs. Valparaiso

• This season, Murray State's games have hit the over on this matchup's 155.5-point over/under eight times.
• Three of Valparaiso's games have finished with a combined score over 155.5 points this season.
• The point total for the matchup of 155.5 is 7.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Racers (89.7 points per game) and the Beacons (72.8 points per game).
• The 147.9 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 7.6 less than the 155.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, Murray State has had a 167.7-point over/under in its games this season, 12.2 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 12.8 points higher than the average over/under in Valparaiso's games this season of 142.7.

Betting the Spread: Murray State vs. Valparaiso

• Murray State is 8-4-0 against the spread this season.
• So far this season, the Racers have been installed as favorites by a 5.5-point margin or more seven times and are 5-2 ATS in those matchups.
• Valparaiso has played 10 games, with seven wins against the spread.
• The Beacons have been underdogs by 5.5 points or more three times this year and have covered the spread twice.
• At home this year, Valparaiso is 4-2 overall and 4-2 against the spread.
• At home, as a 5.5-point underdog or more, Valparaiso has one win ATS (1-2).

Betting the Moneyline: Murray State vs. Valparaiso

• This season, Murray State has been moneyline favorites seven times and won six of those games.
• The Racers are 5-1 this season when entering a game favored by -225 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 69.2% chance of a victory for Murray State.
• Valparaiso has come away with one win in the five contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This season, the Beacons have been a moneyline underdog of -225 or more three times, losing every contest.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Valparaiso has a 35.1% chance of pulling out a win.