Murray State vs. Southern Illinois Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 29

The Murray State Racers (10-3, 2-0 MVC) square off against the Southern Illinois Salukis (6-7, 0-2 MVC) as 6.5-point favorites on Monday, December 29, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total in the matchup is 165.5.

In its most recent game on Sunday, Murray State claimed an 85-79 win over Valparaiso. In the win, Roman Domon led Murray State with 20 points. Southern Illinois' most recent outing on Sunday ended in a 73-69 loss to Bradley. Damien Mayo Jr. recorded 18 points, five rebounds and one assist for Southern Illinois.

Murray State vs. Southern Illinois Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, December 29, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: CFSB Center in Murray, Kentucky
• Spread favorite: Murray State -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Murray State -272
• Moneyline underdog: Southern Illinois +220
• Over/Under: 165.5 points

How to watch Murray State vs. Southern Illinois

• TV Channel: KMOV - MyNet St. Louis
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Murray State vs. Southern Illinois

• This season, six of Murray State's 13 games have gone over Monday's over/under of 165.5 points.
• In Southern Illinois' 12 games this season, five finished with more combined points than Monday's point total of 165.5.
• The point total for the game of 165.5 is 2.6 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Racers (89.3 points per game) and the Salukis (78.8 points per game).
• This game's over/under is 13.9 fewer points than the 151.6 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• On average, Murray State has seen a 167.4-point over/under in its games this season, 1.9 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• A difference of 13.2 points separates this game's over/under (165.5 points) and the average over/under in Southern Illinois' games (152.3) this season.

Betting the Spread: Murray State vs. Southern Illinois

• Murray State has played 13 games, with nine wins against the spread.
• The Racers have an against the spread record of 5-2 in their seven games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more so far this season.
• Against the spread, Southern Illinois is 6-6-0 this year.
• The Salukis are 3-1 ATS when underdogs by 6.5 points or more this season.
• Murray State is 5-1 against the spread, and 6-0 overall, at home this season.
• Murray State is 5-1 ATS as a 6.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• This season in away games, Southern Illinois is 3-3 against the spread and 1-5 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Murray State vs. Southern Illinois

• Murray State has been the moneyline favorite in eight games this season and won seven (87.5%) of those contests.
• The Racers have entered six games this season favored by -272 or more and are 5-1 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Murray State has a 73.1% chance to win.
• Southern Illinois has been a moneyline underdog in seven games this season and has come away with the win one time (14.3%) in those contests.
• This season, the Salukis have come away with a win one times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +220 or longer on the moneyline.
• Southern Illinois has an implied victory probability of 31.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.