Murray State vs. Northwestern State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 7

The Murray State Racers (1-0) host the Northwestern State Demons (0-2) at CFSB Center, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 7, 2026. The Racers are 22.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 153.5.

Murray State enters this contest after a 94-64 win over Tennessee State on Monday. In the victory, Roman Domon led Murray State with 22 points. Northwestern State heads into this matchup after an 82-44 loss to Mississippi State on Thursday. Kai Simpson's team-high 13 points paced Northwestern State in the losing effort.

Murray State vs. Northwestern State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: CFSB Center in Murray, Kentucky
• Spread favorite: Murray State -22.5
• Moneyline favorite: Murray State -6250
• Moneyline underdog: Northwestern State +1983
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch Murray State vs. Northwestern State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Murray State vs. Northwestern State

• Murray State played 22 games with more than 153.5 points scored, its current matchup's total, last year.
• Five of Northwestern State's 30 games last season went over 153.5 total points scored.
• The Racers and the Demons combined to average 2.1 fewer points per game a season ago than the over/under of 153.5 set for this game.
• The Racers and the Demons saw their opponents average a combined 0.9 fewer points per game last season than the point total of 153.5 set in this game.
• Murray State's average point total in outings last year was 163.3, 9.8 points higher than the total in this game.
• The average over/under in Northwestern State's games in 2025 was 12.8 fewer points than the point total of 153.5 for this game.

Betting the Spread: Murray State vs. Northwestern State

• Murray State put together a 14-18-0 ATS record last year.
• The Racers were favored by 22.5 points or more once last season, and covered the spread.
• Northwestern State compiled a 17-13-0 ATS record last season.
• Murray State was 8-7 against the spread, and 12-3 overall, at home last year.
• At home last season, as a 22.5-point favorite or more, Murray State was unbeaten ATS (1-0).
• Northwestern State was 2-15 overall, and 9-8 against the spread, away from home last season.

Betting the Moneyline: Murray State vs. Northwestern State

• Murray State was the moneyline favorite 23 total times last season. It went 17-6 in those games.
• The Racers never played a game last season with moneyline odds of -6250 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives Murray State a 98.4% chance to win.
• Northwestern State was an underdog 26 times last season and won five, or 19.2%, of those games.
• The Demons were not a bigger underdog last season than the +1983 moneyline set for this game.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 4.8% chance of a victory for Northwestern State.