Montana State vs. Cal Poly Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 16

The Montana State Bobcats (4-7) visit the Cal Poly Mustangs (5-6) at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 16, 2025. The Bobcats are 2.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 159.5 points.

Montana State is coming off of a 67-57 loss to Oregon State in its most recent outing on Saturday. Patrick McMahon's team-high 17 points paced Montana State in the loss. Cal Poly's last contest was an 88-84 loss to UC Riverside on Saturday. Hamad Mousa's team-high 31 points paced Cal Poly in the losing effort.

Montana State vs. Cal Poly Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, December 16, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Robert A. Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, California
• Spread favorite: Montana State -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Montana State -163
• Moneyline underdog: Cal Poly +137
• Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch Montana State vs. Cal Poly

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Montana State vs. Cal Poly

• Montana State and its opponents have combined to score more than 159.5 points in a game just twice this season.
• There have been six Cal Poly games that ended with a combined score over 159.5 points this season.
• The Bobcats average 77.2 points per game against the Mustangs' 82.8, amounting to 0.5 points over the contest's point total of 159.5.
• These two teams surrender a combined 155.9 points per game, 3.6 less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, the over/under in Montana State's games is 12.7 fewer points than the over/under of 159.5 in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 9.6 points lower than the average over/under in Cal Poly's games this season of 169.1.

Betting the Spread: Montana State vs. Cal Poly

• Montana State has six wins against the spread in nine games this year.
• The Bobcats have been favored by 2.5 points or more four times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
• Cal Poly has played nine games, with four wins against the spread.
• So far this year, the Mustangs have been installed as underdogs by a 2.5-point margin or more five times and are 3-2 ATS in those matchups.
• At home, Cal Poly is winless ATS (0-1) as a 2.5-point underdog or more.
• Montana State is 1-6 overall, and 5-2 against the spread, away from home.
• Montana State has one win ATS (1-1) as 2.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Montana State vs. Cal Poly

• Montana State has been the moneyline favorite in four games this season and won two (50%) of those contests.
• This season, the Bobcats have won one of their three games when favored by at least -163 on the moneyline.
• Montana State has a 62% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Cal Poly has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in seven games this year and has walked away with the win three times (42.9%) in those games.
• The Mustangs have a mark of 2-3 in contests where oddsmakers give them odds of +137 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Cal Poly has a 42.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Montana State vs. Cal Poly

• Pick ATS: Cal Poly (+ 2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (159.5)
  
• Prediction: Cal Poly 83 - Montana State 82