Missouri vs. Alabama State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 11

The Missouri Tigers (8-2) host the Alabama State Hornets (3-6) at Mizzou Arena, tipping off at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 11, 2025. The Hornets are 27.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 157.5.

In its last time out, Missouri lost 80-60 to Kansas on Sunday. Mark Mitchell totaled 21 points, seven rebounds and one assist for Missouri. Alabama State is coming off of a 74-64 loss to UT Martin in its last outing on Sunday. Alabama State got a team-best 15 points from Tyler Byrd in the loss.

Missouri vs. Alabama State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, December 11, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Mizzou Arena in Columbia, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Missouri -27.5
• Moneyline favorite: Missouri -20000
• Moneyline underdog: Alabama State +3500
• Over/Under: 157.5 points

How to watch Missouri vs. Alabama State

• TV Channel: SEC Network+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Missouri vs. Alabama State

• This season, five of Missouri's 10 games have gone over Thursday's over/under of 157.5 points.
• Four of Alabama State's games have ended with a combined score over 157.5 points this season.
• The total for the matchup of 157.5 is 9.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Tigers (87.4 points per game) and the Hornets (79.4 points per game).
• This game's total is six fewer points than the 151.5 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• The over/under for this contest, 157.5 points, is the same as the average over/under in Missouri's games this season.
• The over/under for this contest is 3.4 points lower than the average over/under in Alabama State's games this season of 160.9.

Betting the Spread: Missouri vs. Alabama State

• Missouri has played 10 games, with four wins against the spread.
• The Tigers have been favored by 27.5 points or more three times this season and have not covered the spread in any of them.
• Against the spread, Alabama State is 4-4-0 this season.
• At home this season, Missouri is 7-0 overall and 3-4 against the spread.
• At home, as a 27.5-point favorite or more, Missouri is winless ATS (0-3).
• Away from home, Alabama State is 1-5 overall and 3-3 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Missouri vs. Alabama State

• This season, Missouri has won eight out of the nine games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Tigers have not been a bigger favorite this season than the -20000 moneyline set for this game.
• The implied probability of a win from Missouri, based on the moneyline, is 99.5%.
• Alabama State has come away with two wins in the eight contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Hornets this season with a +3500 moneyline set for this game.
• Alabama State has an implied victory probability of 2.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Missouri vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Missouri (- 27.5)
• Pick OU: Over (157.5)
  
• Prediction: Missouri 97 - Alabama State 67