Mississippi State vs. Alabama State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 29

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-5) host the Alabama State Hornets (3-9) at Humphrey Coliseum, beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, December 29, 2025. The Bulldogs are 19.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under is 153.5 for the matchup.

Mississippi State heads into this contest after a 71-66 victory over Memphis on Saturday. Jayden Epps put up 19 points, one rebound and zero assists for Mississippi State. Alabama State lost its last matchup 88-67 against Memphis on Monday. Asjon Anderson scored a team-high 16 points for Alabama State in the loss.

Mississippi State vs. Alabama State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, December 29, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Mississippi
• Spread favorite: Mississippi State -19.5
• Moneyline favorite: Mississippi State -4545
• Moneyline underdog: Alabama State +1467
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch Mississippi State vs. Alabama State

• TV Channel: SEC Network+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Mississippi State vs. Alabama State

• Mississippi State and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (153.5 points) eight times this season.
• This season, six games Alabama State has played finished with a combined score over 153.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 154.6 points per game, 1.1 points more than the point total of 153.5 for this matchup.
• The 160.3 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 6.8 more than the 153.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, Mississippi State has seen a 156.3-point over/under in its games this season, 2.8 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Alabama State's games have an average over/under of 158.7 points this season, 5.2 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Mississippi State vs. Alabama State

• Mississippi State has three wins against the spread in 12 games this season.
• This season, the Bulldogs are winless ATS when entering a game as a favorite of 19.5 points or more (in three chances).
• In Alabama State's 11 games this year, it has five wins against the spread.
• The Hornets are 3-4 ATS when underdogs by 19.5 points or more this season.
• Mississippi State has one win against the spread, and is 5-1 overall, at home this year.
• At home, as a 19.5-point favorite or more, Mississippi State is winless ATS (0-3).
• Away from home, Alabama State is 4-5 against the spread, and 1-8 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Mississippi State vs. Alabama State

• Mississippi State has entered the game as moneyline favorites 11 times this season and won seven, or 63.6%, of those games.
• The Bulldogs are undefeated in three games this season when favored by -4545 or more on the moneyline.
• Mississippi State has a 97.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Alabama State has come away with two wins in the 11 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Hornets have won all of their five games in which they were named as at least a +1467 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Alabama State has a 6.4% chance of walking away with the win.