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Brewers vs. Padres Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 12

12 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Milwaukee Brewers host the San Diego Padres to open a three-game series at American Family Field, with first pitch at 7:40 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Brandon Sproat (0-2, 5.87 ERA) will start for the Brewers, who are 22-16 this season and second in the NL Central. Matt Waldron (1-1, 7.71 ERA) is expected to start for the Padres, who are 24-16 and first in the NL West.

The bookmakers have spoken, making the Brewers (-129) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Padres (+109) at home. The contest has an over/under set at 8.5.

Brewers vs. Padres Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
  • Game time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field
  • Favorite: Brewers (-129)
  • Underdog: Padres (+109)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Brewers vs. Padres

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Brewers vs. Padres: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Brewers have won 60.9% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (14-9).
  • San Diego has come away with eight wins in the 14 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season Milwaukee has won eight of its 16 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
  • This season, the Padres have come away with a win four times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Brewers a 56.3% chance to win.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Brewers vs. Padres: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Brewers have played in 38 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 17 times (17-19-2).
  • San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 40 games with a total this season.
  • The Brewers are 24-14-0 ATS this season.
  • The Padres are 22-18-0 against the spread in their 40 games that had a posted line this season.
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