Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 4

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (8-5, 2-0 CUSA) hit the court against the Sam Houston Bearkats (8-5, 0-2 CUSA) as 5.5-point favorites on Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup's over/under is set at 157.5.

Their last time out, Middle Tennessee won on Friday 88-51 over Louisiana Tech. In the win, Alec Oglesby led Middle Tennessee with 25 points. Sam Houston fell in its most recent outing 102-91 against Western Kentucky on Friday. Isaiah Manning scored a team-best 23 points for Sam Houston in the loss.

Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
• Where: Murphy Center in Murfreesboro, Tennessee
• Spread favorite: Middle Tennessee -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Middle Tennessee -242
• Moneyline underdog: Sam Houston +198
• Over/Under: 157.5 points

How to watch Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston

• This season, Middle Tennessee's games have gone over this matchup's 157.5-point total just twice.
• This season, eight games Sam Houston has played finished with a combined score higher than 157.5 points.
• The Blue Raiders average 77.4 points per game against the Bearkats' 88.3, amounting to 8.2 points over the matchup's total of 157.5.
• The 146.4 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 11.1 fewer than the 157.5 total in this contest.
• Middle Tennessee has seen a 147.0 average over/under in its games this season, 10.5 less than the over/under in this matchup.
• Sam Houston's games have an average over/under of 165.2 points this season, 7.7 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston

• Against the spread, Middle Tennessee is 6-4-0 this season.
• The Blue Raiders have been favored by 5.5 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
• In Sam Houston's 10 games this year, it has eight wins against the spread.
• The Bearkats are 3-1 ATS when underdogs by 5.5 points or more this year.
• At home this year, Middle Tennessee has two wins against the spread and is 3-1 overall.
• At home, Middle Tennessee is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 5.5-point favorite or more.
• This season in away games, Sam Houston is 5-2 against the spread and 2-5 overall.
• On the road, Sam Houston is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 5.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Middle Tennessee vs. Sam Houston

• Middle Tennessee has won both games it has played as a moneyline favorite this season.
• The Blue Raiders have played as a favorite of -242 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied probability of a win from Middle Tennessee, based on the moneyline, is 70.8%.
• Sam Houston has come away with two wins in the seven contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This season, the Bearkats have been a moneyline underdog of -242 or more three times, losing every contest.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Sam Houston has a 33.6% chance of pulling out a win.