Michigan vs. USC Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 2

The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (12-0, 2-0 Big Ten) are 21.5-point favorites over the No. 24 USC Trojans (12-1, 1-1 Big Ten) on January 2, 2026 at Crisler Center. It's a contest pitting one of the highest-scoring squads in the nation (Wolverines, third in points scored per game) versus one of the worst defensively (Trojans, 238th in points allowed). The matchup's over/under is set at 169.5.

Michigan won its last game 112-71 against McNeese on Monday. In Michigan's win, Morez Johnson Jr. led the way with a team-high 24 points (adding 11 rebounds and one assist). In its last matchup on Sunday, USC earned a 102-63 victory over UC Santa Cruz. Gabe Dynes scored 16 points in USC's win, leading the team.

Michigan vs. USC Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, January 2, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Crisler Center in Ann Arbor, Michigan
• Spread favorite: Michigan -21.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan -6667
• Moneyline underdog: USC +1767
• Over/Under: 169.5 points

How to watch Michigan vs. USC

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. USC

• This season, Michigan and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's total of 169.5 points four times.
• Three of USC's games have ended with a combined score higher than 169.5 points this season.
• The total for the game of 169.5 is 16.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wolverines (96.8) and Trojans (89.4).
• This game's point total is 27.7 fewer points than the 141.8 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, the over/under in Michigan's games is 6.2 fewer points than the over/under of 169.5 in this matchup.
• USC's games have an average over/under of 164.7 points this season, 4.8 fewer points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. USC

• Michigan has eight wins against the spread in 12 games this year.
• The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS when favored by 21.5 points or more this season.
• USC is 6-6-0 against the spread this year.
• At home this season, Michigan is 6-0 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
• As a 21.5-point favorite or greater at home, Michigan is 4-1 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. USC

• Michigan has been the moneyline favorite in 11 games this season and picked up the win in all of them.
• The Wolverines have been at least a -6667 moneyline favorite five times this season and won each of those games.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 98.5% chance of a victory for Michigan.
• USC has yet to play a game this season while listed as the moneyline underdog.
• Oddsmakers have given the Trojans the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +1767 moneyline listed for this contest.
• USC has an implied victory probability of 5.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.